Recent upward revisions to Germany’s 2026 GDP forecasts—to 1.3–1.4 percent—stem from stronger-than-expected H1 growth (0.4 percent and 0.3 percent q/q) driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. These factors support trader expectations for a solid Q3 print, with the 1.3 percent-plus outcome leading at 40 percent. Countervailing pressures include low Rhine water levels likely trimming activity by around 0.2 percentage points, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and subdued private consumption amid 2.7–2.9 percent inflation. Improving business sentiment and leading indicators create offsetting momentum, leaving the three central bands closely contested as markets weigh temporary drags against the broader cyclical recovery.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.3%+ 43%
0.7-0.9% 31%
1.0-1.2% 21%
≤0.0% <1%
$45,873 Vol.
$45,873 Vol.
2026/10/30
≤0.0%
1%
0.1-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.6%
1%
0.7-0.9%
31%
1.0-1.2%
21%
1.3%+
43%
1.3%+ 43%
0.7-0.9% 31%
1.0-1.2% 21%
≤0.0% <1%
$45,873 Vol.
$45,873 Vol.
2026/10/30
≤0.0%
$1,908 Vol.
1%
0.1-0.3%
$2,032 Vol.
1%
0.4-0.6%
$1,089 Vol.
1%
0.7-0.9%
$7,851 Vol.
31%
1.0-1.2%
$24,968 Vol.
21%
1.3%+
$8,024 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany’s 2026 GDP forecasts—to 1.3–1.4 percent—stem from stronger-than-expected H1 growth (0.4 percent and 0.3 percent q/q) driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. These factors support trader expectations for a solid Q3 print, with the 1.3 percent-plus outcome leading at 40 percent. Countervailing pressures include low Rhine water levels likely trimming activity by around 0.2 percentage points, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and subdued private consumption amid 2.7–2.9 percent inflation. Improving business sentiment and leading indicators create offsetting momentum, leaving the three central bands closely contested as markets weigh temporary drags against the broader cyclical recovery.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
音量
$45,873終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany’s 2026 GDP forecasts—to 1.3–1.4 percent—stem from stronger-than-expected H1 growth (0.4 percent and 0.3 percent q/q) driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. These factors support trader expectations for a solid Q3 print, with the 1.3 percent-plus outcome leading at 40 percent. Countervailing pressures include low Rhine water levels likely trimming activity by around 0.2 percentage points, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and subdued private consumption amid 2.7–2.9 percent inflation. Improving business sentiment and leading indicators create offsetting momentum, leaving the three central bands closely contested as markets weigh temporary drags against the broader cyclical recovery.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$45,873終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent upward revisions to Germany’s 2026 GDP forecasts—to 1.3–1.4 percent—stem from stronger-than-expected H1 growth (0.4 percent and 0.3 percent q/q) driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. These factors support trader expectations for a solid Q3 print, with the 1.3 percent-plus outcome leading at 40 percent. Countervailing pressures include low Rhine water levels likely trimming activity by around 0.2 percentage points, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and subdued private consumption amid 2.7–2.9 percent inflation. Improving business sentiment and leading indicators create offsetting momentum, leaving the three central bands closely contested as markets weigh temporary drags against the broader cyclical recovery.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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