Recent Eurozone data releases and ECB staff projections have anchored trader sentiment around modest but resilient Q3 2026 GDP growth near the 0.8-1.1% range. Eurostat’s flash estimate showed a 0.4% quarter-on-quarter advance in Q2—exceeding expectations and lifting the modified domestic demand measure to 0.3%—while September ECB projections revised full-year 2026 growth upward to 0.9% (or 1.2% on an adjusted basis), citing stronger private consumption and public spending carry-over. Offsetting factors include heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, which the ECB expects to trim Q3 momentum to around 0.2% quarter-on-quarter. With inflation near 3.0% prompting a further ECB rate increase and upcoming Q3 flash data plus the October FOMC and ECB meetings as near-term catalysts, market-implied odds reflect this balance of H1 resilience against seasonal and geopolitical headwinds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.8-1.1% 52%
1.2-1.5% 24.2%
0.4-0.7% 12.6%
0.0-0.3% 5.7%
$63,184 Vol.
$63,184 Vol.
2026/10/30
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
6%
0.4-0.7%
13%
0.8-1.1%
52%
1.2-1.5%
24%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 52%
1.2-1.5% 24.2%
0.4-0.7% 12.6%
0.0-0.3% 5.7%
$63,184 Vol.
$63,184 Vol.
2026/10/30
<0.0%
$1,789 Vol.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,692 Vol.
6%
0.4-0.7%
$10,032 Vol.
13%
0.8-1.1%
$42,925 Vol.
52%
1.2-1.5%
$3,606 Vol.
24%
1.6-1.9%
$1,702 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$1,437 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone data releases and ECB staff projections have anchored trader sentiment around modest but resilient Q3 2026 GDP growth near the 0.8-1.1% range. Eurostat’s flash estimate showed a 0.4% quarter-on-quarter advance in Q2—exceeding expectations and lifting the modified domestic demand measure to 0.3%—while September ECB projections revised full-year 2026 growth upward to 0.9% (or 1.2% on an adjusted basis), citing stronger private consumption and public spending carry-over. Offsetting factors include heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, which the ECB expects to trim Q3 momentum to around 0.2% quarter-on-quarter. With inflation near 3.0% prompting a further ECB rate increase and upcoming Q3 flash data plus the October FOMC and ECB meetings as near-term catalysts, market-implied odds reflect this balance of H1 resilience against seasonal and geopolitical headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
音量
$63,184終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone data releases and ECB staff projections have anchored trader sentiment around modest but resilient Q3 2026 GDP growth near the 0.8-1.1% range. Eurostat’s flash estimate showed a 0.4% quarter-on-quarter advance in Q2—exceeding expectations and lifting the modified domestic demand measure to 0.3%—while September ECB projections revised full-year 2026 growth upward to 0.9% (or 1.2% on an adjusted basis), citing stronger private consumption and public spending carry-over. Offsetting factors include heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, which the ECB expects to trim Q3 momentum to around 0.2% quarter-on-quarter. With inflation near 3.0% prompting a further ECB rate increase and upcoming Q3 flash data plus the October FOMC and ECB meetings as near-term catalysts, market-implied odds reflect this balance of H1 resilience against seasonal and geopolitical headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$63,184終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...Recent Eurozone data releases and ECB staff projections have anchored trader sentiment around modest but resilient Q3 2026 GDP growth near the 0.8-1.1% range. Eurostat’s flash estimate showed a 0.4% quarter-on-quarter advance in Q2—exceeding expectations and lifting the modified domestic demand measure to 0.3%—while September ECB projections revised full-year 2026 growth upward to 0.9% (or 1.2% on an adjusted basis), citing stronger private consumption and public spending carry-over. Offsetting factors include heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, which the ECB expects to trim Q3 momentum to around 0.2% quarter-on-quarter. With inflation near 3.0% prompting a further ECB rate increase and upcoming Q3 flash data plus the October FOMC and ECB meetings as near-term catalysts, market-implied odds reflect this balance of H1 resilience against seasonal and geopolitical headwinds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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