UK GDP growth for 2026 is priced overwhelmingly toward the 1-2% range, reflecting broad alignment between official projections and incoming data. The Bank of England’s July 2026 Monetary Policy Report, OBR March outlook, and the Treasury’s August independent forecaster average all center near 1.1%, with the IMF at 1.0%. Quarterly expansions of 0.6% in Q1 and 0.4% in Q2, plus 0.4% three-month growth through July, have kept the annual pace near 1.2% year-over-year, supported by services and AI-related activity yet offset by weak manufacturing and construction. Elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict, subdued real-income growth, and a widening output gap continue to cap momentum. Stronger-than-expected data or faster dissipation of the energy shock could lift outcomes toward the upper end of the bin, while escalation of geopolitical pressures or sharper labor-market softening would pressure toward sub-1% results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1〜2％ 92.0%
0～1％ 7%
0％未満 1.3%
3～4％ 1.1%
$87,701 Vol.
$87,701 Vol.
2027/02/11
0％未満
1%
0～1％
7%
1〜2％
92%
2～3％
<1%
3～4％
1%
4～5％
<1%
5％以上
<1%
1〜2％ 92.0%
0～1％ 7%
0％未満 1.3%
3～4％ 1.1%
$87,701 Vol.
$87,701 Vol.
2027/02/11
0％未満
$12,267 Vol.
1%
0～1％
$21,517 Vol.
7%
1〜2％
$31,436 Vol.
92%
2～3％
$5,026 Vol.
<1%
3～4％
$3,958 Vol.
1%
4～5％
$9,133 Vol.
<1%
5％以上
$4,364 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.UK GDP growth for 2026 is priced overwhelmingly toward the 1-2% range, reflecting broad alignment between official projections and incoming data. The Bank of England’s July 2026 Monetary Policy Report, OBR March outlook, and the Treasury’s August independent forecaster average all center near 1.1%, with the IMF at 1.0%. Quarterly expansions of 0.6% in Q1 and 0.4% in Q2, plus 0.4% three-month growth through July, have kept the annual pace near 1.2% year-over-year, supported by services and AI-related activity yet offset by weak manufacturing and construction. Elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict, subdued real-income growth, and a widening output gap continue to cap momentum. Stronger-than-expected data or faster dissipation of the energy shock could lift outcomes toward the upper end of the bin, while escalation of geopolitical pressures or sharper labor-market softening would pressure toward sub-1% results.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
音量
$87,701終了日
2027/02/12マーケット開始日
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.UK GDP growth for 2026 is priced overwhelmingly toward the 1-2% range, reflecting broad alignment between official projections and incoming data. The Bank of England’s July 2026 Monetary Policy Report, OBR March outlook, and the Treasury’s August independent forecaster average all center near 1.1%, with the IMF at 1.0%. Quarterly expansions of 0.6% in Q1 and 0.4% in Q2, plus 0.4% three-month growth through July, have kept the annual pace near 1.2% year-over-year, supported by services and AI-related activity yet offset by weak manufacturing and construction. Elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict, subdued real-income growth, and a widening output gap continue to cap momentum. Stronger-than-expected data or faster dissipation of the energy shock could lift outcomes toward the upper end of the bin, while escalation of geopolitical pressures or sharper labor-market softening would pressure toward sub-1% results.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$87,701終了日
2027/02/12マーケット開始日
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...UK GDP growth for 2026 is priced overwhelmingly toward the 1-2% range, reflecting broad alignment between official projections and incoming data. The Bank of England’s July 2026 Monetary Policy Report, OBR March outlook, and the Treasury’s August independent forecaster average all center near 1.1%, with the IMF at 1.0%. Quarterly expansions of 0.6% in Q1 and 0.4% in Q2, plus 0.4% three-month growth through July, have kept the annual pace near 1.2% year-over-year, supported by services and AI-related activity yet offset by weak manufacturing and construction. Elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict, subdued real-income growth, and a widening output gap continue to cap momentum. Stronger-than-expected data or faster dissipation of the energy shock could lift outcomes toward the upper end of the bin, while escalation of geopolitical pressures or sharper labor-market softening would pressure toward sub-1% results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問