Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound to 1.4% quarter-over-quarter and 2.1% year-over-year, following a Q1 contraction, anchors trader expectations for moderate Q3 expansion near 1.5-2.5% year-over-year. Weak domestic demand, subdued private investment amid USMCA review uncertainty, and a softening labor market with unemployment near 2.8% limit upside momentum despite resilient exports and nearshoring support. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.5% reflects easing headline inflation to around 3.2% alongside persistent core pressures. Government and private forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 1.0% and 2.0%, underscoring downside risks from external demand and policy volatility ahead of the October 30 timely GDP release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.0-2.5% 33%
1.5-2.0% 31%
2.5-3.0% 17%
1.0-1.5% 14.7%
$35,160 Vol.
$35,160 Vol.
2026/10/30
<0.5%
4%
0.5-1.0%
2%
1.0-1.5%
15%
1.5-2.0%
31%
2.0-2.5%
33%
2.5-3.0%
17%
3.0-3.5%
2%
3.5%+
3%
2.0-2.5% 33%
1.5-2.0% 31%
2.5-3.0% 17%
1.0-1.5% 14.7%
$35,160 Vol.
$35,160 Vol.
2026/10/30
<0.5%
$925 Vol.
4%
0.5-1.0%
$721 Vol.
2%
1.0-1.5%
$4,037 Vol.
15%
1.5-2.0%
$12,208 Vol.
31%
2.0-2.5%
$13,729 Vol.
33%
2.5-3.0%
$1,929 Vol.
17%
3.0-3.5%
$800 Vol.
2%
3.5%+
$811 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound to 1.4% quarter-over-quarter and 2.1% year-over-year, following a Q1 contraction, anchors trader expectations for moderate Q3 expansion near 1.5-2.5% year-over-year. Weak domestic demand, subdued private investment amid USMCA review uncertainty, and a softening labor market with unemployment near 2.8% limit upside momentum despite resilient exports and nearshoring support. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.5% reflects easing headline inflation to around 3.2% alongside persistent core pressures. Government and private forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 1.0% and 2.0%, underscoring downside risks from external demand and policy volatility ahead of the October 30 timely GDP release.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
音量
$35,160終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound to 1.4% quarter-over-quarter and 2.1% year-over-year, following a Q1 contraction, anchors trader expectations for moderate Q3 expansion near 1.5-2.5% year-over-year. Weak domestic demand, subdued private investment amid USMCA review uncertainty, and a softening labor market with unemployment near 2.8% limit upside momentum despite resilient exports and nearshoring support. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.5% reflects easing headline inflation to around 3.2% alongside persistent core pressures. Government and private forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 1.0% and 2.0%, underscoring downside risks from external demand and policy volatility ahead of the October 30 timely GDP release.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$35,160終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound to 1.4% quarter-over-quarter and 2.1% year-over-year, following a Q1 contraction, anchors trader expectations for moderate Q3 expansion near 1.5-2.5% year-over-year. Weak domestic demand, subdued private investment amid USMCA review uncertainty, and a softening labor market with unemployment near 2.8% limit upside momentum despite resilient exports and nearshoring support. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.5% reflects easing headline inflation to around 3.2% alongside persistent core pressures. Government and private forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 1.0% and 2.0%, underscoring downside risks from external demand and policy volatility ahead of the October 30 timely GDP release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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