Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP release, due September 29, features a Statistics Canada advance estimate of essentially flat output after June’s 0.3% gain, with gains in real estate and professional services offset by weakness in retail trade and manufacturing. This follows robust 3.3% annualized Q2 growth driven by exports and domestic demand, but recent merchandise trade data show a sharp narrowing of the surplus as exports fell 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%. Traders are weighting the closely bunched probabilities across 0.6–0.7%, flat, and negative outcomes amid uncertainty over revisions, persistent U.S. trade frictions, and moderating Q3 momentum, with the final figure expected to shape Bank of Canada policy expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<0.0% 38%
0.0〜0.1％ 29%
0.6％〜0.7％ 28%
0.4〜0.5％ 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/29
<0.0%
38%
0.0〜0.1％
29%
0.2〜0.3％
21%
0.4〜0.5％
27%
0.6％〜0.7％
28%
0.8%以上
25%
<0.0% 38%
0.0〜0.1％ 29%
0.6％〜0.7％ 28%
0.4〜0.5％ 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/29
<0.0%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.0〜0.1％
$20 Vol.
29%
0.2〜0.3％
$0 Vol.
21%
0.4〜0.5％
$0 Vol.
27%
0.6％〜0.7％
$0 Vol.
28%
0.8%以上
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP release, due September 29, features a Statistics Canada advance estimate of essentially flat output after June’s 0.3% gain, with gains in real estate and professional services offset by weakness in retail trade and manufacturing. This follows robust 3.3% annualized Q2 growth driven by exports and domestic demand, but recent merchandise trade data show a sharp narrowing of the surplus as exports fell 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%. Traders are weighting the closely bunched probabilities across 0.6–0.7%, flat, and negative outcomes amid uncertainty over revisions, persistent U.S. trade frictions, and moderating Q3 momentum, with the final figure expected to shape Bank of Canada policy expectations.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/29マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP release, due September 29, features a Statistics Canada advance estimate of essentially flat output after June’s 0.3% gain, with gains in real estate and professional services offset by weakness in retail trade and manufacturing. This follows robust 3.3% annualized Q2 growth driven by exports and domestic demand, but recent merchandise trade data show a sharp narrowing of the surplus as exports fell 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%. Traders are weighting the closely bunched probabilities across 0.6–0.7%, flat, and negative outcomes amid uncertainty over revisions, persistent U.S. trade frictions, and moderating Q3 momentum, with the final figure expected to shape Bank of Canada policy expectations.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/29マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETCanada’s July 2026 monthly GDP release, due September 29, features a Statistics Canada advance estimate of essentially flat output after June’s 0.3% gain, with gains in real estate and professional services offset by weakness in retail trade and manufacturing. This follows robust 3.3% annualized Q2 growth driven by exports and domestic demand, but recent merchandise trade data show a sharp narrowing of the surplus as exports fell 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%. Traders are weighting the closely bunched probabilities across 0.6–0.7%, flat, and negative outcomes amid uncertainty over revisions, persistent U.S. trade frictions, and moderating Q3 momentum, with the final figure expected to shape Bank of Canada policy expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問