Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market shows the strongest trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% band amid elevated headline readings driven by energy prices. July 2026 CPI rose to 3.0% year-over-year from 2.8% in June, following a May peak of 3.2%, primarily due to gasoline costs surging over 25% on Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% through multiple 2026 meetings, citing weak growth, limited core pass-through, and expectations that inflation will converge toward the 2% target by 2027 as energy effects fade. Official projections, including federal budget estimates, place average 2026 CPI near 2.5%, supporting the market-implied odds while leaving room for volatility from ongoing geopolitical risks and upcoming CPI releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.5～2.9％ 35.8%
2.0〜2.4％ 18.4%
3.0〜3.4％ 14.9%
1.5～1.9％ 14.8%
$38,290 Vol.
$38,290 Vol.
2027/01/18
1.0%未満
2%
1.0～1.4％
5%
1.5～1.9％
15%
2.0〜2.4％
18%
2.5～2.9％
36%
3.0〜3.4％
15%
3.5〜3.9%
13%
4.0％以上
5%
2.5～2.9％ 35.8%
2.0〜2.4％ 18.4%
3.0〜3.4％ 14.9%
1.5～1.9％ 14.8%
$38,290 Vol.
$38,290 Vol.
2027/01/18
1.0%未満
$1,081 Vol.
2%
1.0～1.4％
$5,268 Vol.
5%
1.5～1.9％
$3,350 Vol.
15%
2.0〜2.4％
$1,204 Vol.
18%
2.5～2.9％
$9,623 Vol.
36%
3.0〜3.4％
$13,770 Vol.
15%
3.5〜3.9%
$3,511 Vol.
13%
4.0％以上
$484 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market shows the strongest trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% band amid elevated headline readings driven by energy prices. July 2026 CPI rose to 3.0% year-over-year from 2.8% in June, following a May peak of 3.2%, primarily due to gasoline costs surging over 25% on Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% through multiple 2026 meetings, citing weak growth, limited core pass-through, and expectations that inflation will converge toward the 2% target by 2027 as energy effects fade. Official projections, including federal budget estimates, place average 2026 CPI near 2.5%, supporting the market-implied odds while leaving room for volatility from ongoing geopolitical risks and upcoming CPI releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
音量
$38,290終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market shows the strongest trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% band amid elevated headline readings driven by energy prices. July 2026 CPI rose to 3.0% year-over-year from 2.8% in June, following a May peak of 3.2%, primarily due to gasoline costs surging over 25% on Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% through multiple 2026 meetings, citing weak growth, limited core pass-through, and expectations that inflation will converge toward the 2% target by 2027 as energy effects fade. Official projections, including federal budget estimates, place average 2026 CPI near 2.5%, supporting the market-implied odds while leaving room for volatility from ongoing geopolitical risks and upcoming CPI releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
音量
$38,290終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market shows the strongest trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% band amid elevated headline readings driven by energy prices. July 2026 CPI rose to 3.0% year-over-year from 2.8% in June, following a May peak of 3.2%, primarily due to gasoline costs surging over 25% on Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% through multiple 2026 meetings, citing weak growth, limited core pass-through, and expectations that inflation will converge toward the 2% target by 2027 as energy effects fade. Official projections, including federal budget estimates, place average 2026 CPI near 2.5%, supporting the market-implied odds while leaving room for volatility from ongoing geopolitical risks and upcoming CPI releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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