Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Otzma Yehudit projected at 6–9 Knesset seats, placing its implied vote share in a narrow band near the 5.5–7.5% ranges that dominate current market pricing. The party's final candidate list, featuring Tally Gotliv in the second spot after her departure from Likud, has drawn attention but occurs amid broader fragmentation on the right. Competing lists including Religious Zionism-Zehut and Amcha Yisrael continue to siphon potential support, while the overall pro-Netanyahu bloc trails in most surveys. These cross-pressures, combined with undecided voters and turnout variation, sustain the tight distribution across adjacent bins without clear separation in the latest data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5.5〜6.5％ 41%
6.5〜7.5％ 40%
4.5〜5.5％ 37%
7.5％以上 34%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
4.5％未満
31%
4.5〜5.5％
37%
5.5〜6.5％
41%
6.5〜7.5％
40%
7.5％以上
34%
5.5〜6.5％ 41%
6.5〜7.5％ 40%
4.5〜5.5％ 37%
7.5％以上 34%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
4.5％未満
$0 Vol.
31%
4.5〜5.5％
$0 Vol.
37%
5.5〜6.5％
$0 Vol.
41%
6.5〜7.5％
$0 Vol.
40%
7.5％以上
$0 Vol.
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Otzma Yehudit projected at 6–9 Knesset seats, placing its implied vote share in a narrow band near the 5.5–7.5% ranges that dominate current market pricing. The party's final candidate list, featuring Tally Gotliv in the second spot after her departure from Likud, has drawn attention but occurs amid broader fragmentation on the right. Competing lists including Religious Zionism-Zehut and Amcha Yisrael continue to siphon potential support, while the overall pro-Netanyahu bloc trails in most surveys. These cross-pressures, combined with undecided voters and turnout variation, sustain the tight distribution across adjacent bins without clear separation in the latest data.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Otzma Yehudit projected at 6–9 Knesset seats, placing its implied vote share in a narrow band near the 5.5–7.5% ranges that dominate current market pricing. The party's final candidate list, featuring Tally Gotliv in the second spot after her departure from Likud, has drawn attention but occurs amid broader fragmentation on the right. Competing lists including Religious Zionism-Zehut and Amcha Yisrael continue to siphon potential support, while the overall pro-Netanyahu bloc trails in most surveys. These cross-pressures, combined with undecided voters and turnout variation, sustain the tight distribution across adjacent bins without clear separation in the latest data.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETRecent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Otzma Yehudit projected at 6–9 Knesset seats, placing its implied vote share in a narrow band near the 5.5–7.5% ranges that dominate current market pricing. The party's final candidate list, featuring Tally Gotliv in the second spot after her departure from Likud, has drawn attention but occurs amid broader fragmentation on the right. Competing lists including Religious Zionism-Zehut and Amcha Yisrael continue to siphon potential support, while the overall pro-Netanyahu bloc trails in most surveys. These cross-pressures, combined with undecided voters and turnout variation, sustain the tight distribution across adjacent bins without clear separation in the latest data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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