Iowa’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most competitive House races heading into the November 2026 general election. Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks secured her party’s nomination in the June primary by a wide margin after defeating a primary challenger, while Democrat Christina Bohannan, who narrowly lost the seat by fewer than 800 votes in 2024, won her primary decisively. The district’s narrow 2024 margin, combined with its southeastern Iowa base that includes competitive areas around Davenport and Iowa City, has drawn national attention and fundraising from both parties. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite, reflecting the seat’s swing character and historical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
72%
共和党
28%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$2,597 Vol.
72%
共和党
$2,390 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most competitive House races heading into the November 2026 general election. Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks secured her party’s nomination in the June primary by a wide margin after defeating a primary challenger, while Democrat Christina Bohannan, who narrowly lost the seat by fewer than 800 votes in 2024, won her primary decisively. The district’s narrow 2024 margin, combined with its southeastern Iowa base that includes competitive areas around Davenport and Iowa City, has drawn national attention and fundraising from both parties. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite, reflecting the seat’s swing character and historical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
音量
$4,987終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most competitive House races heading into the November 2026 general election. Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks secured her party’s nomination in the June primary by a wide margin after defeating a primary challenger, while Democrat Christina Bohannan, who narrowly lost the seat by fewer than 800 votes in 2024, won her primary decisively. The district’s narrow 2024 margin, combined with its southeastern Iowa base that includes competitive areas around Davenport and Iowa City, has drawn national attention and fundraising from both parties. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite, reflecting the seat’s swing character and historical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,987終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most competitive House races heading into the November 2026 general election. Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks secured her party’s nomination in the June primary by a wide margin after defeating a primary challenger, while Democrat Christina Bohannan, who narrowly lost the seat by fewer than 800 votes in 2024, won her primary decisively. The district’s narrow 2024 margin, combined with its southeastern Iowa base that includes competitive areas around Davenport and Iowa City, has drawn national attention and fundraising from both parties. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite, reflecting the seat’s swing character and historical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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