The 2026 Berlin state election on September 20 produced a final voter turnout of 74.2 percent, an 11.3-point rise from the 2023 repeat election. Interim reports on election day already showed markedly higher participation—such as 58.2 percent by 4 p.m. versus 48.8 percent in 2023—driven by expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds, elevated mobilization across districts, and sustained interest in the contest. These verifiable developments aligned with historical patterns of increased engagement in high-stakes Landtagswahlen. Trader consensus at 99.5 percent for an increase reflects the clarity of both preliminary counts and the certified result; only a rare post-certification adjustment or definitional change in turnout calculation would shift the resolved outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日上昇
99% 確率
$2,760 Vol.
$2,760 Vol.
2026/09/20
上昇
99% 確率
$2,760 Vol.
$2,760 Vol.
2026/09/20
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).The 2026 Berlin state election on September 20 produced a final voter turnout of 74.2 percent, an 11.3-point rise from the 2023 repeat election. Interim reports on election day already showed markedly higher participation—such as 58.2 percent by 4 p.m. versus 48.8 percent in 2023—driven by expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds, elevated mobilization across districts, and sustained interest in the contest. These verifiable developments aligned with historical patterns of increased engagement in high-stakes Landtagswahlen. Trader consensus at 99.5 percent for an increase reflects the clarity of both preliminary counts and the certified result; only a rare post-certification adjustment or definitional change in turnout calculation would shift the resolved outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
音量
$2,760終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).The 2026 Berlin state election on September 20 produced a final voter turnout of 74.2 percent, an 11.3-point rise from the 2023 repeat election. Interim reports on election day already showed markedly higher participation—such as 58.2 percent by 4 p.m. versus 48.8 percent in 2023—driven by expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds, elevated mobilization across districts, and sustained interest in the contest. These verifiable developments aligned with historical patterns of increased engagement in high-stakes Landtagswahlen. Trader consensus at 99.5 percent for an increase reflects the clarity of both preliminary counts and the certified result; only a rare post-certification adjustment or definitional change in turnout calculation would shift the resolved outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
音量
$2,760終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Berlin state election on September 20 produced a final voter turnout of 74.2 percent, an 11.3-point rise from the 2023 repeat election. Interim reports on election day already showed markedly higher participation—such as 58.2 percent by 4 p.m. versus 48.8 percent in 2023—driven by expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds, elevated mobilization across districts, and sustained interest in the contest. These verifiable developments aligned with historical patterns of increased engagement in high-stakes Landtagswahlen. Trader consensus at 99.5 percent for an increase reflects the clarity of both preliminary counts and the certified result; only a rare post-certification adjustment or definitional change in turnout calculation would shift the resolved outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問