Incumbent Republican Mike Flood faces Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer in Nebraska’s 1st congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and received Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters based on its voting history, including a 13-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Flood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Backemeyer prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Recent polling from May showed Flood ahead by single digits or low double digits, with an independent candidate also on the ballot potentially affecting vote splits. Traders’ strong preference for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s structural lean and the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or turnout indicators since the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,842 Vol.
$22,842 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
82%
民主党
16%
$22,842 Vol.
$22,842 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,668 Vol.
82%
民主党
$11,175 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood faces Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer in Nebraska’s 1st congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and received Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters based on its voting history, including a 13-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Flood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Backemeyer prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Recent polling from May showed Flood ahead by single digits or low double digits, with an independent candidate also on the ballot potentially affecting vote splits. Traders’ strong preference for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s structural lean and the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or turnout indicators since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$22,842終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood faces Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer in Nebraska’s 1st congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and received Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters based on its voting history, including a 13-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Flood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Backemeyer prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Recent polling from May showed Flood ahead by single digits or low double digits, with an independent candidate also on the ballot potentially affecting vote splits. Traders’ strong preference for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s structural lean and the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or turnout indicators since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,842終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Flood faces Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer in Nebraska’s 1st congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and received Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters based on its voting history, including a 13-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Flood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Backemeyer prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Recent polling from May showed Flood ahead by single digits or low double digits, with an independent candidate also on the ballot potentially affecting vote splits. Traders’ strong preference for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s structural lean and the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or turnout indicators since the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問