Nebraska’s 2nd District, anchored in the Omaha metro area with a D+3 Partisan Voter Index, is an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted not to seek reelection. The May 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Denise Powell, who edged state Sen. John Cavanaugh in a crowded field; Powell’s victory consolidated support ahead of the November general election. Republican Brinker Harding secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent presidential voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,700 Vol.
$27,700 Vol.
民主党
76%
共和党
16%
$27,700 Vol.
$27,700 Vol.
民主党
76%
共和党
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nebraska’s 2nd District, anchored in the Omaha metro area with a D+3 Partisan Voter Index, is an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted not to seek reelection. The May 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Denise Powell, who edged state Sen. John Cavanaugh in a crowded field; Powell’s victory consolidated support ahead of the November general election. Republican Brinker Harding secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent presidential voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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