Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and gave Kamala Harris a five-point margin in 2024, became an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon announced his retirement. The May 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Denise Powell after a close contest with State Sen. John Cavanaugh, while Brinker Harding secured the Republican nomination unopposed. Recent campaign finance reports show Powell significantly outraising Harding, though both candidates have comparable cash on hand for the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s structural lean and the absence of an incumbent advantage, while leaving room for shifts based on national midterm dynamics and candidate performance through the fall.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
81%
共和党
16%
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$31,698 Vol.
81%
共和党
$3,962 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and gave Kamala Harris a five-point margin in 2024, became an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon announced his retirement. The May 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Denise Powell after a close contest with State Sen. John Cavanaugh, while Brinker Harding secured the Republican nomination unopposed. Recent campaign finance reports show Powell significantly outraising Harding, though both candidates have comparable cash on hand for the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s structural lean and the absence of an incumbent advantage, while leaving room for shifts based on national midterm dynamics and candidate performance through the fall.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
音量
$35,660終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and gave Kamala Harris a five-point margin in 2024, became an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon announced his retirement. The May 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Denise Powell after a close contest with State Sen. John Cavanaugh, while Brinker Harding secured the Republican nomination unopposed. Recent campaign finance reports show Powell significantly outraising Harding, though both candidates have comparable cash on hand for the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s structural lean and the absence of an incumbent advantage, while leaving room for shifts based on national midterm dynamics and candidate performance through the fall.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,660終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and gave Kamala Harris a five-point margin in 2024, became an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon announced his retirement. The May 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Denise Powell after a close contest with State Sen. John Cavanaugh, while Brinker Harding secured the Republican nomination unopposed. Recent campaign finance reports show Powell significantly outraising Harding, though both candidates have comparable cash on hand for the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s structural lean and the absence of an incumbent advantage, while leaving room for shifts based on national midterm dynamics and candidate performance through the fall.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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