The open seat in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas’s decision to seek the U.S. Senate nomination, anchors trader sentiment. The district carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and supported Kamala Harris by a narrow margin in 2024, producing a modest Democratic structural edge. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Stefany Shaheen, have begun fundraising and messaging around opposition to the current administration ahead of the September 8 primary, while Republicans field a crowded field without a clear frontrunner. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, and the substantial gap in current market prices reflects this consensus on the limited Republican path to victory absent major shifts before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
87%
共和党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$3,925 Vol.
87%
共和党
$2,941 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas’s decision to seek the U.S. Senate nomination, anchors trader sentiment. The district carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and supported Kamala Harris by a narrow margin in 2024, producing a modest Democratic structural edge. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Stefany Shaheen, have begun fundraising and messaging around opposition to the current administration ahead of the September 8 primary, while Republicans field a crowded field without a clear frontrunner. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, and the substantial gap in current market prices reflects this consensus on the limited Republican path to victory absent major shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$6,866終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas’s decision to seek the U.S. Senate nomination, anchors trader sentiment. The district carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and supported Kamala Harris by a narrow margin in 2024, producing a modest Democratic structural edge. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Stefany Shaheen, have begun fundraising and messaging around opposition to the current administration ahead of the September 8 primary, while Republicans field a crowded field without a clear frontrunner. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, and the substantial gap in current market prices reflects this consensus on the limited Republican path to victory absent major shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,866終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas’s decision to seek the U.S. Senate nomination, anchors trader sentiment. The district carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and supported Kamala Harris by a narrow margin in 2024, producing a modest Democratic structural edge. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Stefany Shaheen, have begun fundraising and messaging around opposition to the current administration ahead of the September 8 primary, while Republicans field a crowded field without a clear frontrunner. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, and the substantial gap in current market prices reflects this consensus on the limited Republican path to victory absent major shifts before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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