The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's retirement to pursue the U.S. Senate has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders, including frontrunner Stefany Shaheen, while the Republican field remains fragmented ahead of the September 8 primaries. New Hampshire's 1st District, which includes Manchester and the Seacoast region, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its recent voting patterns and Cook Political Report's "Likely D" rating. Trader consensus at 86.3% for a Democratic nominee reflects the district's structural advantages for the party, limited Republican momentum, and the absence of a high-profile challenger capable of shifting the balance before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
86%
共和党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$5,358 Vol.
86%
共和党
$3,013 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's retirement to pursue the U.S. Senate has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders, including frontrunner Stefany Shaheen, while the Republican field remains fragmented ahead of the September 8 primaries. New Hampshire's 1st District, which includes Manchester and the Seacoast region, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its recent voting patterns and Cook Political Report's "Likely D" rating. Trader consensus at 86.3% for a Democratic nominee reflects the district's structural advantages for the party, limited Republican momentum, and the absence of a high-profile challenger capable of shifting the balance before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$8,372終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's retirement to pursue the U.S. Senate has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders, including frontrunner Stefany Shaheen, while the Republican field remains fragmented ahead of the September 8 primaries. New Hampshire's 1st District, which includes Manchester and the Seacoast region, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its recent voting patterns and Cook Political Report's "Likely D" rating. Trader consensus at 86.3% for a Democratic nominee reflects the district's structural advantages for the party, limited Republican momentum, and the absence of a high-profile challenger capable of shifting the balance before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,372終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's retirement to pursue the U.S. Senate has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders, including frontrunner Stefany Shaheen, while the Republican field remains fragmented ahead of the September 8 primaries. New Hampshire's 1st District, which includes Manchester and the Seacoast region, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its recent voting patterns and Cook Political Report's "Likely D" rating. Trader consensus at 86.3% for a Democratic nominee reflects the district's structural advantages for the party, limited Republican momentum, and the absence of a high-profile challenger capable of shifting the balance before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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