Arizona's 8th congressional district, encompassing northern and western Phoenix suburbs including parts of Glendale and Peoria, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21, 2026, nominating contests and benefits from the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Democratic primary candidates, including Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, operate in a minority party position within the R+8 electorate, constraining general election prospects despite the open filing window. The 78.5% Republican trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's baseline partisan lean or incumbent positioning before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
21%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,407 Vol.
79%
民主党
$2,846 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 8th congressional district, encompassing northern and western Phoenix suburbs including parts of Glendale and Peoria, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21, 2026, nominating contests and benefits from the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Democratic primary candidates, including Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, operate in a minority party position within the R+8 electorate, constraining general election prospects despite the open filing window. The 78.5% Republican trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's baseline partisan lean or incumbent positioning before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$5,253終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 8th congressional district, encompassing northern and western Phoenix suburbs including parts of Glendale and Peoria, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21, 2026, nominating contests and benefits from the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Democratic primary candidates, including Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, operate in a minority party position within the R+8 electorate, constraining general election prospects despite the open filing window. The 78.5% Republican trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's baseline partisan lean or incumbent positioning before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,253終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 8th congressional district, encompassing northern and western Phoenix suburbs including parts of Glendale and Peoria, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21, 2026, nominating contests and benefits from the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Democratic primary candidates, including Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, operate in a minority party position within the R+8 electorate, constraining general election prospects despite the open filing window. The 78.5% Republican trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's baseline partisan lean or incumbent positioning before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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