Arizona's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh seeking re-election against Democratic primary contenders Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler ahead of the July 21 primaries and November 3 general election. The district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. Hamadeh secured 56.5% in the 2024 general election, and no major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the competitive landscape in recent months. These structural factors and the absence of significant Democratic momentum underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
20%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,407 Vol.
79%
民主党
$2,846 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh seeking re-election against Democratic primary contenders Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler ahead of the July 21 primaries and November 3 general election. The district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. Hamadeh secured 56.5% in the 2024 general election, and no major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the competitive landscape in recent months. These structural factors and the absence of significant Democratic momentum underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$5,253終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh seeking re-election against Democratic primary contenders Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler ahead of the July 21 primaries and November 3 general election. The district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. Hamadeh secured 56.5% in the 2024 general election, and no major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the competitive landscape in recent months. These structural factors and the absence of significant Democratic momentum underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,253終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh seeking re-election against Democratic primary contenders Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler ahead of the July 21 primaries and November 3 general election. The district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. Hamadeh secured 56.5% in the 2024 general election, and no major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the competitive landscape in recent months. These structural factors and the absence of significant Democratic momentum underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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