Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holds a consistent polling edge over incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th district, a swing seat with an even or slight Republican lean on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. June 2026 surveys, including one from Normington Petts showing Mendoza ahead 47-45, have contributed to trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 82.5%. Post-primary dynamics after the July 21 contests, combined with the district’s history of narrow margins and mixed race ratings ranging from toss-up to lean Democratic, reinforce the positioning. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited new public polling since mid-summer leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or late developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,606 Vol.
$11,606 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
83%
共和党
18%
$11,606 Vol.
$11,606 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,889 Vol.
83%
共和党
$7,717 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holds a consistent polling edge over incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th district, a swing seat with an even or slight Republican lean on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. June 2026 surveys, including one from Normington Petts showing Mendoza ahead 47-45, have contributed to trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 82.5%. Post-primary dynamics after the July 21 contests, combined with the district’s history of narrow margins and mixed race ratings ranging from toss-up to lean Democratic, reinforce the positioning. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited new public polling since mid-summer leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$11,606終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holds a consistent polling edge over incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th district, a swing seat with an even or slight Republican lean on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. June 2026 surveys, including one from Normington Petts showing Mendoza ahead 47-45, have contributed to trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 82.5%. Post-primary dynamics after the July 21 contests, combined with the district’s history of narrow margins and mixed race ratings ranging from toss-up to lean Democratic, reinforce the positioning. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited new public polling since mid-summer leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,606終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holds a consistent polling edge over incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th district, a swing seat with an even or slight Republican lean on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. June 2026 surveys, including one from Normington Petts showing Mendoza ahead 47-45, have contributed to trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 82.5%. Post-primary dynamics after the July 21 contests, combined with the district’s history of narrow margins and mixed race ratings ranging from toss-up to lean Democratic, reinforce the positioning. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited new public polling since mid-summer leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or late developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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