Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most evenly balanced seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and a narrow 2024 presidential margin. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challengers including JoAnna Mendoza in the July 21 primary ahead of the November general election. Recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as a toss-up, while early 2025–2026 polling shows the Democratic candidate holding a slight edge or statistical tie. Traders’ consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this competitive environment, where turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could determine the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
78%
共和党
19%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$490 Vol.
78%
共和党
$969 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most evenly balanced seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and a narrow 2024 presidential margin. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challengers including JoAnna Mendoza in the July 21 primary ahead of the November general election. Recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as a toss-up, while early 2025–2026 polling shows the Democratic candidate holding a slight edge or statistical tie. Traders’ consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this competitive environment, where turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could determine the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$1,459終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most evenly balanced seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and a narrow 2024 presidential margin. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challengers including JoAnna Mendoza in the July 21 primary ahead of the November general election. Recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as a toss-up, while early 2025–2026 polling shows the Democratic candidate holding a slight edge or statistical tie. Traders’ consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this competitive environment, where turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could determine the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,459終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most evenly balanced seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and a narrow 2024 presidential margin. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challengers including JoAnna Mendoza in the July 21 primary ahead of the November general election. Recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as a toss-up, while early 2025–2026 polling shows the Democratic candidate holding a slight edge or statistical tie. Traders’ consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this competitive environment, where turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could determine the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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