Incumbent Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman seeks a third term in Ohio’s 1st Congressional District following his decisive May 2026 primary win. Redistricting completed in October 2025 shifted the Cincinnati-area seat slightly rightward, incorporating more rural Republican territory and producing a Trump +2.5 point baseline, yet multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Democratic as of mid-2026. Landsman’s established local profile, record fundraising quarter, and substantial cash-on-hand advantage contrast with Republican nominee Eric Conroy’s limited resources and outsider status. These elements, combined with historical incumbent performance in marginally competitive districts, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome in the November 3, 2026 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
83%
共和党
17%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,804 Vol.
83%
共和党
$2,072 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman seeks a third term in Ohio’s 1st Congressional District following his decisive May 2026 primary win. Redistricting completed in October 2025 shifted the Cincinnati-area seat slightly rightward, incorporating more rural Republican territory and producing a Trump +2.5 point baseline, yet multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Democratic as of mid-2026. Landsman’s established local profile, record fundraising quarter, and substantial cash-on-hand advantage contrast with Republican nominee Eric Conroy’s limited resources and outsider status. These elements, combined with historical incumbent performance in marginally competitive districts, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome in the November 3, 2026 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$3,876終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman seeks a third term in Ohio’s 1st Congressional District following his decisive May 2026 primary win. Redistricting completed in October 2025 shifted the Cincinnati-area seat slightly rightward, incorporating more rural Republican territory and producing a Trump +2.5 point baseline, yet multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Democratic as of mid-2026. Landsman’s established local profile, record fundraising quarter, and substantial cash-on-hand advantage contrast with Republican nominee Eric Conroy’s limited resources and outsider status. These elements, combined with historical incumbent performance in marginally competitive districts, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome in the November 3, 2026 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,876終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman seeks a third term in Ohio’s 1st Congressional District following his decisive May 2026 primary win. Redistricting completed in October 2025 shifted the Cincinnati-area seat slightly rightward, incorporating more rural Republican territory and producing a Trump +2.5 point baseline, yet multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Democratic as of mid-2026. Landsman’s established local profile, record fundraising quarter, and substantial cash-on-hand advantage contrast with Republican nominee Eric Conroy’s limited resources and outsider status. These elements, combined with historical incumbent performance in marginally competitive districts, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome in the November 3, 2026 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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