Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Eric Conroy, who won his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district's October 2025 redistricting added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting its partisan voting index toward Republicans and creating a toss-up environment per major forecasters. Despite this, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 73.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Landsman's established incumbency, name recognition in the Cincinnati area, and historical performance in the prior configuration. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic and local issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
76%
共和党
28%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$888 Vol.
76%
共和党
$1,332 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Eric Conroy, who won his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district's October 2025 redistricting added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting its partisan voting index toward Republicans and creating a toss-up environment per major forecasters. Despite this, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 73.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Landsman's established incumbency, name recognition in the Cincinnati area, and historical performance in the prior configuration. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic and local issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$2,190終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Eric Conroy, who won his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district's October 2025 redistricting added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting its partisan voting index toward Republicans and creating a toss-up environment per major forecasters. Despite this, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 73.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Landsman's established incumbency, name recognition in the Cincinnati area, and historical performance in the prior configuration. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic and local issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,190終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Eric Conroy, who won his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district's October 2025 redistricting added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting its partisan voting index toward Republicans and creating a toss-up environment per major forecasters. Despite this, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 73.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Landsman's established incumbency, name recognition in the Cincinnati area, and historical performance in the prior configuration. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic and local issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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