Troy Balderson, the Republican incumbent since 2018, secured his party's nomination without opposition in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 12th congressional district, while Democrat Jerrad Christian emerged from a three-way primary to face him in the November general election. The central Ohio district, encompassing rural and suburban counties around Columbus, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, including Balderson's 68.5% victory in 2024. Trader consensus reflects the seat's solid Republican lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. The November 3, 2026, contest remains the key resolution trigger, with few scheduled developments likely to alter the current positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,235 Vol.
90%
民主党
$256 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson, the Republican incumbent since 2018, secured his party's nomination without opposition in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 12th congressional district, while Democrat Jerrad Christian emerged from a three-way primary to face him in the November general election. The central Ohio district, encompassing rural and suburban counties around Columbus, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, including Balderson's 68.5% victory in 2024. Trader consensus reflects the seat's solid Republican lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. The November 3, 2026, contest remains the key resolution trigger, with few scheduled developments likely to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$4,490終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson, the Republican incumbent since 2018, secured his party's nomination without opposition in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 12th congressional district, while Democrat Jerrad Christian emerged from a three-way primary to face him in the November general election. The central Ohio district, encompassing rural and suburban counties around Columbus, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, including Balderson's 68.5% victory in 2024. Trader consensus reflects the seat's solid Republican lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. The November 3, 2026, contest remains the key resolution trigger, with few scheduled developments likely to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,490終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Balderson, the Republican incumbent since 2018, secured his party's nomination without opposition in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 12th congressional district, while Democrat Jerrad Christian emerged from a three-way primary to face him in the November general election. The central Ohio district, encompassing rural and suburban counties around Columbus, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, including Balderson's 68.5% victory in 2024. Trader consensus reflects the seat's solid Republican lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. The November 3, 2026, contest remains the key resolution trigger, with few scheduled developments likely to alter the current positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問