Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, a seat he captured by a wide margin in 2024. The district's voting patterns and redistricting have consistently favored Republican candidates, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in elevated odds for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary field but faces structural challenges including lower historical turnout and fundraising gaps typical in this area. While a national political shift or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow the race before November 2026, the combination of incumbency, primary results, and district fundamentals continues to anchor the strong positioning for the Republican candidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,939 Vol.
91%
民主党
$11,025 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, a seat he captured by a wide margin in 2024. The district's voting patterns and redistricting have consistently favored Republican candidates, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in elevated odds for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary field but faces structural challenges including lower historical turnout and fundraising gaps typical in this area. While a national political shift or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow the race before November 2026, the combination of incumbency, primary results, and district fundamentals continues to anchor the strong positioning for the Republican candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$22,964終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, a seat he captured by a wide margin in 2024. The district's voting patterns and redistricting have consistently favored Republican candidates, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in elevated odds for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary field but faces structural challenges including lower historical turnout and fundraising gaps typical in this area. While a national political shift or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow the race before November 2026, the combination of incumbency, primary results, and district fundamentals continues to anchor the strong positioning for the Republican candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,964終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, a seat he captured by a wide margin in 2024. The district's voting patterns and redistricting have consistently favored Republican candidates, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in elevated odds for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary field but faces structural challenges including lower historical turnout and fundraising gaps typical in this area. While a national political shift or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow the race before November 2026, the combination of incumbency, primary results, and district fundamentals continues to anchor the strong positioning for the Republican candidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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