Michael Rulli holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 6th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent presidential and statewide contests, combined with his incumbency and primary performance. Rulli secured the Republican nomination with over 76% of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary field with just 31.5%. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, and Rulli's substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his reelection prospects. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$68,650 Vol.
$68,650 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・ルリ（共和党）
95%
エリザベス・カートリー（民主党）
5%
$68,650 Vol.
$68,650 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・ルリ（共和党）
$25,732 Vol.
95%
エリザベス・カートリー（民主党）
$42,918 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Rulli holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 6th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent presidential and statewide contests, combined with his incumbency and primary performance. Rulli secured the Republican nomination with over 76% of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary field with just 31.5%. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, and Rulli's substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his reelection prospects. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$68,650終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Rulli holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 6th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent presidential and statewide contests, combined with his incumbency and primary performance. Rulli secured the Republican nomination with over 76% of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary field with just 31.5%. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, and Rulli's substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his reelection prospects. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$68,650終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Rulli holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 6th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent presidential and statewide contests, combined with his incumbency and primary performance. Rulli secured the Republican nomination with over 76% of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary field with just 31.5%. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, and Rulli's substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his reelection prospects. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問