Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote and faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio’s 6th Congressional District. The seat’s R+16 partisan lean, combined with Rulli’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points and the district’s rural and Appalachian character, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Fundraising reports show sustained Republican advantages, while Democratic primary spending remained limited. A commanding lead could erode only in the event of a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually adverse national political environment, or a substantial shift in voter turnout patterns not observed in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,939 Vol.
92%
民主党
$11,025 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote and faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio’s 6th Congressional District. The seat’s R+16 partisan lean, combined with Rulli’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points and the district’s rural and Appalachian character, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Fundraising reports show sustained Republican advantages, while Democratic primary spending remained limited. A commanding lead could erode only in the event of a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually adverse national political environment, or a substantial shift in voter turnout patterns not observed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$22,964終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote and faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio’s 6th Congressional District. The seat’s R+16 partisan lean, combined with Rulli’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points and the district’s rural and Appalachian character, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Fundraising reports show sustained Republican advantages, while Democratic primary spending remained limited. A commanding lead could erode only in the event of a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually adverse national political environment, or a substantial shift in voter turnout patterns not observed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,964終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote and faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio’s 6th Congressional District. The seat’s R+16 partisan lean, combined with Rulli’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points and the district’s rural and Appalachian character, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Fundraising reports show sustained Republican advantages, while Democratic primary spending remained limited. A commanding lead could erode only in the event of a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually adverse national political environment, or a substantial shift in voter turnout patterns not observed in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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