Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by incumbent Gabe Amo’s consistent fundraising advantage and the district’s partisan voting index that favors Democrats by double digits. With the filing deadline approaching in late June and the primary set for September, no Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful resources or visibility, while declared independents lack party infrastructure or polling traction. Amo’s 2024 general-election margin and early 2026 cash-on-hand totals reinforce trader expectations of continued Democratic control. A realistic shift in odds would require either an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent or a late, well-funded Republican entrant capitalizing on a national political reversal—developments that have not materialized in current reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,462 Vol.
93%
共和党
$1,059 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by incumbent Gabe Amo’s consistent fundraising advantage and the district’s partisan voting index that favors Democrats by double digits. With the filing deadline approaching in late June and the primary set for September, no Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful resources or visibility, while declared independents lack party infrastructure or polling traction. Amo’s 2024 general-election margin and early 2026 cash-on-hand totals reinforce trader expectations of continued Democratic control. A realistic shift in odds would require either an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent or a late, well-funded Republican entrant capitalizing on a national political reversal—developments that have not materialized in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$4,521終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by incumbent Gabe Amo’s consistent fundraising advantage and the district’s partisan voting index that favors Democrats by double digits. With the filing deadline approaching in late June and the primary set for September, no Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful resources or visibility, while declared independents lack party infrastructure or polling traction. Amo’s 2024 general-election margin and early 2026 cash-on-hand totals reinforce trader expectations of continued Democratic control. A realistic shift in odds would require either an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent or a late, well-funded Republican entrant capitalizing on a national political reversal—developments that have not materialized in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,521終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by incumbent Gabe Amo’s consistent fundraising advantage and the district’s partisan voting index that favors Democrats by double digits. With the filing deadline approaching in late June and the primary set for September, no Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful resources or visibility, while declared independents lack party infrastructure or polling traction. Amo’s 2024 general-election margin and early 2026 cash-on-hand totals reinforce trader expectations of continued Democratic control. A realistic shift in odds would require either an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent or a late, well-funded Republican entrant capitalizing on a national political reversal—developments that have not materialized in current reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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