Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,140 Vol.
$36,140 Vol.
2026/11/02
ゲイブ・アーモ（民主党）
95%
ケリー・キーナン（共和党）
5%
$36,140 Vol.
$36,140 Vol.
2026/11/02
ゲイブ・アーモ（民主党）
$6,061 Vol.
95%
ケリー・キーナン（共和党）
$30,079 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$36,140終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,140終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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