Democrat Gabe Amo, the incumbent since a 2023 special election, holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district due to its consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+12 and recent election margins exceeding 60 percent. Amo faces no notable Republican opponent as the June 2026 filing deadline approaches, with only minor independent candidates declared ahead of the September primary and November general election. Strong fundraising, high name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen major scandal, late surge by a well-funded Republican, or dramatic national political realignment before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,518 Vol.
93%
共和党
$1,059 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Gabe Amo, the incumbent since a 2023 special election, holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district due to its consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+12 and recent election margins exceeding 60 percent. Amo faces no notable Republican opponent as the June 2026 filing deadline approaches, with only minor independent candidates declared ahead of the September primary and November general election. Strong fundraising, high name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen major scandal, late surge by a well-funded Republican, or dramatic national political realignment before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$4,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Gabe Amo, the incumbent since a 2023 special election, holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district due to its consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+12 and recent election margins exceeding 60 percent. Amo faces no notable Republican opponent as the June 2026 filing deadline approaches, with only minor independent candidates declared ahead of the September primary and November general election. Strong fundraising, high name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen major scandal, late surge by a well-funded Republican, or dramatic national political realignment before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Gabe Amo, the incumbent since a 2023 special election, holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district due to its consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+12 and recent election margins exceeding 60 percent. Amo faces no notable Republican opponent as the June 2026 filing deadline approaches, with only minor independent candidates declared ahead of the September primary and November general election. Strong fundraising, high name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen major scandal, late surge by a well-funded Republican, or dramatic national political realignment before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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