South Carolina's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, ranking among the state's most Republican-leaning seats and delivering consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Sheri Biggs, who secured 71.7 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the June 9 contest and enters the November 3 general election against a Democratic primary field and a Libertarian nominee. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical voting patterns. A late development such as an incumbent retirement, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党
93%
民主党
7%
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, ranking among the state's most Republican-leaning seats and delivering consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Sheri Biggs, who secured 71.7 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the June 9 contest and enters the November 3 general election against a Democratic primary field and a Libertarian nominee. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical voting patterns. A late development such as an incumbent retirement, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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