Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the SC-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 16.5-point margin there in 2024. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary with 65.8% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Timmons maintains a substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. A scheduled October 8 debate offers the main remaining platform for McClain to build visibility. Unlikely shifts in trader consensus would require a major scandal, health event, or national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2026/11/02
ウィリアム・ティモンズ（共和党）
93%
コートニー・マクレイン（民主党）
7%
$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2026/11/02
ウィリアム・ティモンズ（共和党）
$20,131 Vol.
93%
コートニー・マクレイン（民主党）
$23,603 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the SC-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 16.5-point margin there in 2024. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary with 65.8% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Timmons maintains a substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. A scheduled October 8 debate offers the main remaining platform for McClain to build visibility. Unlikely shifts in trader consensus would require a major scandal, health event, or national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$43,734終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the SC-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 16.5-point margin there in 2024. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary with 65.8% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Timmons maintains a substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. A scheduled October 8 debate offers the main remaining platform for McClain to build visibility. Unlikely shifts in trader consensus would require a major scandal, health event, or national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,734終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the SC-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 16.5-point margin there in 2024. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary with 65.8% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Timmons maintains a substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. A scheduled October 8 debate offers the main remaining platform for McClain to build visibility. Unlikely shifts in trader consensus would require a major scandal, health event, or national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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