South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Cook Political Report rating it as such ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers and positioning him for the general election matchup against Democratic nominee Courtney McClain. The district's partisan voting index and historical results, including Timmons's 2024 reelection margin, underpin trader consensus on Republican odds. Primary outcomes and the absence of competitive indicators for any South Carolina House seats further reinforce the current pricing, though late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,526 Vol.
$12,526 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
$12,526 Vol.
$12,526 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,244 Vol.
88%
民主党
$2,282 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Cook Political Report rating it as such ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers and positioning him for the general election matchup against Democratic nominee Courtney McClain. The district's partisan voting index and historical results, including Timmons's 2024 reelection margin, underpin trader consensus on Republican odds. Primary outcomes and the absence of competitive indicators for any South Carolina House seats further reinforce the current pricing, though late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$12,526終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Cook Political Report rating it as such ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers and positioning him for the general election matchup against Democratic nominee Courtney McClain. The district's partisan voting index and historical results, including Timmons's 2024 reelection margin, underpin trader consensus on Republican odds. Primary outcomes and the absence of competitive indicators for any South Carolina House seats further reinforce the current pricing, though late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,526終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Cook Political Report rating it as such ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers and positioning him for the general election matchup against Democratic nominee Courtney McClain. The district's partisan voting index and historical results, including Timmons's 2024 reelection margin, underpin trader consensus on Republican odds. Primary outcomes and the absence of competitive indicators for any South Carolina House seats further reinforce the current pricing, though late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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