RNI and PJD hold the tightest implied probabilities for second place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives, reflecting a fragmented proportional system where no party is assured a dominant bloc. The incumbent RNI-led coalition faces pressure from lingering economic grievances and the Gen Z 212 protests over services and youth unemployment, while PJD seeks urban recovery after its 2021 collapse. PAM’s stronger positioning in some forecasts for first place leaves the runner-up slot open to shifts from late mobilization, candidate renewal efforts, or turnout patterns. Trader consensus prices these variables as nearly even, with limited reliable polling leaving room for campaign developments to reorder the middle of the field before resolution on official Interior Ministry results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日RNI 44%
PI 28.7%
PAM 29%
PJD 1.9%
$32,240 Vol.
$32,240 Vol.
2026/09/23
RNI
44%
PI
22%
PAM
29%
PJD
10%
UC
1%
USFP
1%
PPS
<1%
MP
<1%
RNI 44%
PI 28.7%
PAM 29%
PJD 1.9%
$32,240 Vol.
$32,240 Vol.
2026/09/23
RNI
$7,791 Vol.
44%
PI
$15,717 Vol.
22%
PAM
$5,584 Vol.
29%
PJD
$939 Vol.
10%
UC
$522 Vol.
1%
USFP
$530 Vol.
1%
PPS
$556 Vol.
<1%
MP
$600 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.RNI and PJD hold the tightest implied probabilities for second place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives, reflecting a fragmented proportional system where no party is assured a dominant bloc. The incumbent RNI-led coalition faces pressure from lingering economic grievances and the Gen Z 212 protests over services and youth unemployment, while PJD seeks urban recovery after its 2021 collapse. PAM’s stronger positioning in some forecasts for first place leaves the runner-up slot open to shifts from late mobilization, candidate renewal efforts, or turnout patterns. Trader consensus prices these variables as nearly even, with limited reliable polling leaving room for campaign developments to reorder the middle of the field before resolution on official Interior Ministry results.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
音量
$32,240終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.RNI and PJD hold the tightest implied probabilities for second place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives, reflecting a fragmented proportional system where no party is assured a dominant bloc. The incumbent RNI-led coalition faces pressure from lingering economic grievances and the Gen Z 212 protests over services and youth unemployment, while PJD seeks urban recovery after its 2021 collapse. PAM’s stronger positioning in some forecasts for first place leaves the runner-up slot open to shifts from late mobilization, candidate renewal efforts, or turnout patterns. Trader consensus prices these variables as nearly even, with limited reliable polling leaving room for campaign developments to reorder the middle of the field before resolution on official Interior Ministry results.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$32,240終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...RNI and PJD hold the tightest implied probabilities for second place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives, reflecting a fragmented proportional system where no party is assured a dominant bloc. The incumbent RNI-led coalition faces pressure from lingering economic grievances and the Gen Z 212 protests over services and youth unemployment, while PJD seeks urban recovery after its 2021 collapse. PAM’s stronger positioning in some forecasts for first place leaves the runner-up slot open to shifts from late mobilization, candidate renewal efforts, or turnout patterns. Trader consensus prices these variables as nearly even, with limited reliable polling leaving room for campaign developments to reorder the middle of the field before resolution on official Interior Ministry results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問