The closely contested Texas Senate race stems from a Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton scheduled for May 26, alongside Democratic nominee James Talarico's strong primary performance. Recent head-to-head polling shows Talarico running within a few points of either Republican contender, highlighting Texas's shifting voter mobilization patterns and the impact of primary turnout on general election dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in the current 53.5% Republican and 46.5% Democrat odds captures this uncertainty, consistent with historical patterns in the state where incumbency advantages compete against challenger enthusiasm. The outcome will hinge on how the runoff shapes Republican unity and whether Talarico sustains momentum through the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$205,422 Vol.
$205,422 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
54%
民主党
47%
$205,422 Vol.
$205,422 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$113,687 Vol.
54%
民主党
$91,735 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely contested Texas Senate race stems from a Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton scheduled for May 26, alongside Democratic nominee James Talarico's strong primary performance. Recent head-to-head polling shows Talarico running within a few points of either Republican contender, highlighting Texas's shifting voter mobilization patterns and the impact of primary turnout on general election dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in the current 53.5% Republican and 46.5% Democrat odds captures this uncertainty, consistent with historical patterns in the state where incumbency advantages compete against challenger enthusiasm. The outcome will hinge on how the runoff shapes Republican unity and whether Talarico sustains momentum through the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
音量
$205,422終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely contested Texas Senate race stems from a Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton scheduled for May 26, alongside Democratic nominee James Talarico's strong primary performance. Recent head-to-head polling shows Talarico running within a few points of either Republican contender, highlighting Texas's shifting voter mobilization patterns and the impact of primary turnout on general election dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in the current 53.5% Republican and 46.5% Democrat odds captures this uncertainty, consistent with historical patterns in the state where incumbency advantages compete against challenger enthusiasm. The outcome will hinge on how the runoff shapes Republican unity and whether Talarico sustains momentum through the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$205,422終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely contested Texas Senate race stems from a Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton scheduled for May 26, alongside Democratic nominee James Talarico's strong primary performance. Recent head-to-head polling shows Talarico running within a few points of either Republican contender, highlighting Texas's shifting voter mobilization patterns and the impact of primary turnout on general election dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in the current 53.5% Republican and 46.5% Democrat odds captures this uncertainty, consistent with historical patterns in the state where incumbency advantages compete against challenger enthusiasm. The outcome will hinge on how the runoff shapes Republican unity and whether Talarico sustains momentum through the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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