Recent polling consistently shows Democrat James Talarico holding a narrow edge or statistical tie over Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, with margins within sampling error across multiple August surveys of likely voters. Paxton's May primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated much of the Republican base following Donald Trump's endorsement, yet his legal history and weaker fundraising have limited broader appeal among independents and younger voters. Talarico has leveraged substantial donor support and stronger performance with moderates to keep the contest competitive ahead of November 3 voting. Late-cycle developments such as turnout mobilization in key demographics, additional endorsements, or shifts in economic and border security sentiment could widen the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$841,265 Vol.
$841,265 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェームズ・タラリコ（民主党）
52%
ケン・パクストン（共和党）
49%
$841,265 Vol.
$841,265 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェームズ・タラリコ（民主党）
$404,841 Vol.
52%
ケン・パクストン（共和党）
$436,424 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling consistently shows Democrat James Talarico holding a narrow edge or statistical tie over Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, with margins within sampling error across multiple August surveys of likely voters. Paxton's May primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated much of the Republican base following Donald Trump's endorsement, yet his legal history and weaker fundraising have limited broader appeal among independents and younger voters. Talarico has leveraged substantial donor support and stronger performance with moderates to keep the contest competitive ahead of November 3 voting. Late-cycle developments such as turnout mobilization in key demographics, additional endorsements, or shifts in economic and border security sentiment could widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
音量
$841,265終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling consistently shows Democrat James Talarico holding a narrow edge or statistical tie over Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, with margins within sampling error across multiple August surveys of likely voters. Paxton's May primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated much of the Republican base following Donald Trump's endorsement, yet his legal history and weaker fundraising have limited broader appeal among independents and younger voters. Talarico has leveraged substantial donor support and stronger performance with moderates to keep the contest competitive ahead of November 3 voting. Late-cycle developments such as turnout mobilization in key demographics, additional endorsements, or shifts in economic and border security sentiment could widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$841,265終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling consistently shows Democrat James Talarico holding a narrow edge or statistical tie over Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, with margins within sampling error across multiple August surveys of likely voters. Paxton's May primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated much of the Republican base following Donald Trump's endorsement, yet his legal history and weaker fundraising have limited broader appeal among independents and younger voters. Talarico has leveraged substantial donor support and stronger performance with moderates to keep the contest competitive ahead of November 3 voting. Late-cycle developments such as turnout mobilization in key demographics, additional endorsements, or shifts in economic and border security sentiment could widen the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問