Randy Fine's position as the Republican incumbent, following his decisive 2025 special election victory in Florida's 6th Congressional District, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for the August 18, 2026 primary. His fundraising lead, endorsements from local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have limited challengers' traction despite entries from figures such as Dan Bilzerian. The solidly Republican district and Fine's early organizational advantages reinforce this outlook, though developments like major scandals, health events, or late surges in challenger visibility could still shift probabilities before the primary concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ランディ・ファイン 92%
ダン・ビルゼリアン 6.0%
アーロン・ベイカー 1.6%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ 1.4%
$167,621 Vol.
$167,621 Vol.
2026/08/18
ランディ・ファイン
92%
ダン・ビルゼリアン
6%
アーロン・ベイカー
2%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ
1%
チャールズ・ガンバロ
<1%
ジョシュア・バスケス
<1%
アーネスト・オーディノ
<1%
ランディ・ファイン 92%
ダン・ビルゼリアン 6.0%
アーロン・ベイカー 1.6%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ 1.4%
$167,621 Vol.
$167,621 Vol.
2026/08/18
ランディ・ファイン
$17,562 Vol.
92%
ダン・ビルゼリアン
$53,834 Vol.
6%
アーロン・ベイカー
$17,098 Vol.
2%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ
$37,378 Vol.
1%
チャールズ・ガンバロ
$11,618 Vol.
<1%
ジョシュア・バスケス
$10,983 Vol.
<1%
アーネスト・オーディノ
$19,148 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine's position as the Republican incumbent, following his decisive 2025 special election victory in Florida's 6th Congressional District, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for the August 18, 2026 primary. His fundraising lead, endorsements from local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have limited challengers' traction despite entries from figures such as Dan Bilzerian. The solidly Republican district and Fine's early organizational advantages reinforce this outlook, though developments like major scandals, health events, or late surges in challenger visibility could still shift probabilities before the primary concludes.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
音量
$167,621終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine's position as the Republican incumbent, following his decisive 2025 special election victory in Florida's 6th Congressional District, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for the August 18, 2026 primary. His fundraising lead, endorsements from local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have limited challengers' traction despite entries from figures such as Dan Bilzerian. The solidly Republican district and Fine's early organizational advantages reinforce this outlook, though developments like major scandals, health events, or late surges in challenger visibility could still shift probabilities before the primary concludes.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$167,621終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Randy Fine's position as the Republican incumbent, following his decisive 2025 special election victory in Florida's 6th Congressional District, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for the August 18, 2026 primary. His fundraising lead, endorsements from local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have limited challengers' traction despite entries from figures such as Dan Bilzerian. The solidly Republican district and Fine's early organizational advantages reinforce this outlook, though developments like major scandals, health events, or late surges in challenger visibility could still shift probabilities before the primary concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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