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選挙·共和党予備選挙

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

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選挙·共和党予備選挙

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 69%

Dan Bilzerian 22%

Charles Gambaro 6.5%

Aaron Baker 1.4%

Polymarket
新規

$14,017 Vol.

Randy Fine 69%

Dan Bilzerian 22%

Charles Gambaro 6.5%

Aaron Baker 1.4%

Polymarket
新規

$14,017 Vol.

Randy Fine

$1,008 Vol.

69%

Dan Bilzerian

$1,462 Vol.

22%

Charles Gambaro

$496 Vol.

6%

Aaron Baker

$676 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$637 Vol.

1%

Ernest Audino

$9,270 Vol.

1%

Joshua Vasquez

$468 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands 68.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his strong 2025 special election victory—securing 83% with President Trump's endorsement—and recent accomplishments like opening district offices across six counties and advancing four bills from committee after his first year in office. Social media influencer Dan Bilzerian's entry last week, filing for the August 18 primary while criticizing Fine's Israel stance as "treason" and U.S. Iran policy, boosted his odds to 21% via name recognition, though past antisemitism allegations and lack of political experience cap his momentum. Minor challengers like Charles Gambaro trail at 6%, reflecting limited fundraising and visibility in this safely Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$14,017
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands 68.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his strong 2025 special election victory—securing 83% with President Trump's endorsement—and recent accomplishments like opening district offices across six counties and advancing four bills from committee after his first year in office. Social media influencer Dan Bilzerian's entry last week, filing for the August 18 primary while criticizing Fine's Israel stance as "treason" and U.S. Iran policy, boosted his odds to 21% via name recognition, though past antisemitism allegations and lack of political experience cap his momentum. Minor challengers like Charles Gambaro trail at 6%, reflecting limited fundraising and visibility in this safely Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$14,017
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Randy Fine」で69%、次いで「Dan Bilzerian」が22%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、69¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に69%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」は$14Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Randy Fine」で69%であり、市場がこの結果に69%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Dan Bilzerian」で22%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。