Trump’s July 2026 endorsement of Anthony DiLorenzo, a Portsmouth businessman and first-time candidate, has consolidated Republican support in the September 8 primary for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District, shifting market pricing sharply in his favor. Pre-endorsement polling from Saint Anselm College showed Hollie Noveletsky, a repeat candidate and business owner, holding a narrow lead, but subsequent developments—including additional endorsements and Melissa Bailey’s withdrawal to back DiLorenzo—have reinforced his position as the consensus frontrunner. Noveletsky continues to campaign on her prior primary experience and policy alignment, yet traders assign her only a modest chance. The remaining candidates trail far behind with minimal organized support or polling visibility. The primary’s open nature and short timeline to September keep the outcome sensitive to further late-cycle shifts in voter turnout or additional high-profile backing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アンソニー・ディロレンツォ 89%
ホリー・ノヴェレツキー 10%
メリッサ・ベイリー <1%
ブライアン・コール <1%
$46,851 Vol.
$46,851 Vol.
アンソニー・ディロレンツォ
89%
ホリー・ノヴェレツキー
10%
メリッサ・ベイリー
1%
ブライアン・コール
1%
エリザベス・ジラード
<1%
アンソニー・ディロレンツォ 89%
ホリー・ノヴェレツキー 10%
メリッサ・ベイリー <1%
ブライアン・コール <1%
$46,851 Vol.
$46,851 Vol.
アンソニー・ディロレンツォ
89%
ホリー・ノヴェレツキー
10%
メリッサ・ベイリー
1%
ブライアン・コール
1%
エリザベス・ジラード
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s July 2026 endorsement of Anthony DiLorenzo, a Portsmouth businessman and first-time candidate, has consolidated Republican support in the September 8 primary for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District, shifting market pricing sharply in his favor. Pre-endorsement polling from Saint Anselm College showed Hollie Noveletsky, a repeat candidate and business owner, holding a narrow lead, but subsequent developments—including additional endorsements and Melissa Bailey’s withdrawal to back DiLorenzo—have reinforced his position as the consensus frontrunner. Noveletsky continues to campaign on her prior primary experience and policy alignment, yet traders assign her only a modest chance. The remaining candidates trail far behind with minimal organized support or polling visibility. The primary’s open nature and short timeline to September keep the outcome sensitive to further late-cycle shifts in voter turnout or additional high-profile backing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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