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icon for AZ -05共和党予選優勝者

AZ -05共和党予選優勝者

icon for AZ -05共和党予選優勝者

AZ -05共和党予選優勝者

マーク・ラム 51.8%

ジェイ・フィーリー 3.0%

トラヴィス・グランサム 2.3%

Polymarket

$50,835 Vol.

マーク・ラム 51.8%

ジェイ・フィーリー 3.0%

トラヴィス・グランサム 2.3%

Polymarket

$50,835 Vol.

マーク・ラム

$5,856 Vol.

52%

ジェイ・フィーリー

$43,116 Vol.

3%

トラヴィス・グランサム

$1,863 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb leads the Republican primary for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District as the open-seat contest heads toward the July 21 ballot. Lamb’s late 2025 entry, prior Senate run, and law-enforcement profile quickly positioned him ahead of remaining challengers Daniel Keenan and lower-profile candidates. Trader pricing reflects this edge while incorporating recent reporting on allegations of misconduct that have introduced uncertainty and narrowed his advantage. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham register minimal shares after limited traction and reports of withdrawals or shifts to other races. Club for Growth endorsement and early polling advantages for Lamb continue to anchor consensus, though the abbreviated campaign window and any further developments could still shift positioning before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$50,835
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb leads the Republican primary for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District as the open-seat contest heads toward the July 21 ballot. Lamb’s late 2025 entry, prior Senate run, and law-enforcement profile quickly positioned him ahead of remaining challengers Daniel Keenan and lower-profile candidates. Trader pricing reflects this edge while incorporating recent reporting on allegations of misconduct that have introduced uncertainty and narrowed his advantage. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham register minimal shares after limited traction and reports of withdrawals or shifts to other races. Club for Growth endorsement and early polling advantages for Lamb continue to anchor consensus, though the abbreviated campaign window and any further developments could still shift positioning before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$50,835
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「AZ -05共和党予選優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マーク・ラム」で52%、次いで「ジェイ・フィーリー」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、52¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に52%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「AZ -05共和党予選優勝者」は$50.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「AZ -05共和党予選優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「AZ -05共和党予選優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マーク・ラム」で52%であり、市場がこの結果に52%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジェイ・フィーリー」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「AZ -05共和党予選優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。