Recent formal rejections of pardon requests have reinforced trader expectations that Pedro Castillo will not receive clemency before the end of 2026. Peru’s Ministry of Justice and the Presidential Pardons Commission ruled multiple filings inadmissible in 2026, citing incomplete documentation and failure to meet commission regulations, including under interim President José María Balcázar. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11.5-year sentence for rebellion further constrain executive discretion, as standard pardon processes require demonstrated humanitarian grounds or procedural compliance. With limited time remaining in the current administration and no successful appeals or legislative changes altering eligibility, market pricing reflects these procedural and judicial barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日30% 確率
$42,820 Vol.
$42,820 Vol.
2026/12/31
30% 確率
$42,820 Vol.
$42,820 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent formal rejections of pardon requests have reinforced trader expectations that Pedro Castillo will not receive clemency before the end of 2026. Peru’s Ministry of Justice and the Presidential Pardons Commission ruled multiple filings inadmissible in 2026, citing incomplete documentation and failure to meet commission regulations, including under interim President José María Balcázar. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11.5-year sentence for rebellion further constrain executive discretion, as standard pardon processes require demonstrated humanitarian grounds or procedural compliance. With limited time remaining in the current administration and no successful appeals or legislative changes altering eligibility, market pricing reflects these procedural and judicial barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
音量
$42,820終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent formal rejections of pardon requests have reinforced trader expectations that Pedro Castillo will not receive clemency before the end of 2026. Peru’s Ministry of Justice and the Presidential Pardons Commission ruled multiple filings inadmissible in 2026, citing incomplete documentation and failure to meet commission regulations, including under interim President José María Balcázar. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11.5-year sentence for rebellion further constrain executive discretion, as standard pardon processes require demonstrated humanitarian grounds or procedural compliance. With limited time remaining in the current administration and no successful appeals or legislative changes altering eligibility, market pricing reflects these procedural and judicial barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$42,820終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent formal rejections of pardon requests have reinforced trader expectations that Pedro Castillo will not receive clemency before the end of 2026. Peru’s Ministry of Justice and the Presidential Pardons Commission ruled multiple filings inadmissible in 2026, citing incomplete documentation and failure to meet commission regulations, including under interim President José María Balcázar. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11.5-year sentence for rebellion further constrain executive discretion, as standard pardon processes require demonstrated humanitarian grounds or procedural compliance. With limited time remaining in the current administration and no successful appeals or legislative changes altering eligibility, market pricing reflects these procedural and judicial barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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