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icon for トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

icon for トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

$462,608 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$462,608 Vol.

Polymarket

ロジャー・ストーン

$8,405 Vol.

22%

ステファン・ブロディ

$2,809 Vol.

20%

キオン・ロドリゲス

$17,544 Vol.

15%

マット・ゲーツ

$6,294 Vol.

14%

ライアン・サラメ

$31,835 Vol.

13%

ドナルド・ブロディ

$4,207 Vol.

12%

ロジャー・ヴェア

$2,182 Vol.

11%

ダニエル・ペニー

$508 Vol.

11%

スティーブ・バノン

$8,049 Vol.

10%

エリック・アダムズ

$1,101 Vol.

9%

ジョー・エキゾチック

$5,369 Vol.

9%

ヤング・サグ

$4,702 Vol.

6%

ボブ・メネンデス

$295 Vol.

6%

ジュリアン・アサンジ

$4,218 Vol.

6%

ギレーヌ・マクスウェル

$25,158 Vol.

6%

マーティン・シュクレリ

$30,439 Vol.

5%

エリザベス・ホームズ

$3,613 Vol.

5%

ニコラス・マドゥロ

$10,351 Vol.

5%

ディディ

$30,270 Vol.

4%

サム・バンクマン=フリード

$136,103 Vol.

4%

デレク・ショーヴィン

$26,611 Vol.

4%

エドワード・スノーデン

$3,183 Vol.

3%

アンドリュー・テート

$1,035 Vol.

3%

アントワーヌ・マッシー

$2,480 Vol.

3%

ド・クォン

$23,621 Vol.

3%

本人

$13,660 Vol.

3%

イーロン・マスク

$52,917 Vol.

2%

ハンター・バイデン

$5,651 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued over 1,700 clemency grants in his second term, including mass pardons for January 6 defendants and fake electors plot participants, alongside targeted actions for crypto executives like Changpeng Zhao and Ross Ulbricht, fraud convictions, and recent September 2026 grants to gun owners such as Navy veteran Patrick Tate Adamiak. These reflect a process driven by influential advocates and political alignment rather than traditional Department of Justice guidelines, with many recipients tied to restitution relief or prior Trump support. Trader probabilities for listed figures vary based on public statements, advocacy efforts, and case profiles—such as repeated rejections for Sam Bankman-Fried—while the window through December 2026 leaves room for additional batches before resolution. No major scheduled events like congressional votes directly constrain the unreviewable constitutional power, though new filings or announcements could shift specific odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$462,608
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued over 1,700 clemency grants in his second term, including mass pardons for January 6 defendants and fake electors plot participants, alongside targeted actions for crypto executives like Changpeng Zhao and Ross Ulbricht, fraud convictions, and recent September 2026 grants to gun owners such as Navy veteran Patrick Tate Adamiak. These reflect a process driven by influential advocates and political alignment rather than traditional Department of Justice guidelines, with many recipients tied to restitution relief or prior Trump support. Trader probabilities for listed figures vary based on public statements, advocacy efforts, and case profiles—such as repeated rejections for Sam Bankman-Fried—while the window through December 2026 leaves room for additional batches before resolution. No major scheduled events like congressional votes directly constrain the unreviewable constitutional power, though new filings or announcements could shift specific odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$462,608
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」はPolymarket上の28個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ロジャー・ストーン」で22%、次いで「ステファン・ブロディ」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、22¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に22%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」は$462.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている28個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ロジャー・ストーン」で22%であり、市場がこの結果に22%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ステファン・ブロディ」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。