The trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, stems from the historical rarity of voluntary presidential departures, with only Richard Nixon resigning amid impeachment proceedings. As of September 2026, Trump remains focused on his second-term agenda, including legislative priorities and executive actions, with no public statements or credible reports indicating an intention to step down. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift congressional dynamics but show no direct link to resignation pressures. While health events, unforeseen scandals, or legal developments remain theoretically possible catalysts, these have not materialized at levels that would alter the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$538,890 Vol.
$538,890 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$538,890 Vol.
$538,890 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, stems from the historical rarity of voluntary presidential departures, with only Richard Nixon resigning amid impeachment proceedings. As of September 2026, Trump remains focused on his second-term agenda, including legislative priorities and executive actions, with no public statements or credible reports indicating an intention to step down. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift congressional dynamics but show no direct link to resignation pressures. While health events, unforeseen scandals, or legal developments remain theoretically possible catalysts, these have not materialized at levels that would alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
音量
$538,890終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, stems from the historical rarity of voluntary presidential departures, with only Richard Nixon resigning amid impeachment proceedings. As of September 2026, Trump remains focused on his second-term agenda, including legislative priorities and executive actions, with no public statements or credible reports indicating an intention to step down. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift congressional dynamics but show no direct link to resignation pressures. While health events, unforeseen scandals, or legal developments remain theoretically possible catalysts, these have not materialized at levels that would alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$538,890終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...The trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, stems from the historical rarity of voluntary presidential departures, with only Richard Nixon resigning amid impeachment proceedings. As of September 2026, Trump remains focused on his second-term agenda, including legislative priorities and executive actions, with no public statements or credible reports indicating an intention to step down. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift congressional dynamics but show no direct link to resignation pressures. While health events, unforeseen scandals, or legal developments remain theoretically possible catalysts, these have not materialized at levels that would alter the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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