Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, has produced no verified developments indicating an intent to step down before 2027, supporting the 95.9 percent trader consensus on “No.” Recent physical exam results released in late May 2026 described the president as remaining in excellent health with strong cardiac, neurological, and overall function despite minor reported issues, while partisan impeachment resolutions and calls for removal tied to foreign policy statements have not advanced beyond introduction. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations are rare, and public remarks from the administration have emphasized continuity rather than early departure. Midterm outcomes in November 2026 or subsequent legislative pressure could alter dynamics, yet current evidence points to structural and personal factors sustaining the low probability of voluntary exit within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$20,281 Vol.
$20,281 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$20,281 Vol.
$20,281 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, has produced no verified developments indicating an intent to step down before 2027, supporting the 95.9 percent trader consensus on “No.” Recent physical exam results released in late May 2026 described the president as remaining in excellent health with strong cardiac, neurological, and overall function despite minor reported issues, while partisan impeachment resolutions and calls for removal tied to foreign policy statements have not advanced beyond introduction. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations are rare, and public remarks from the administration have emphasized continuity rather than early departure. Midterm outcomes in November 2026 or subsequent legislative pressure could alter dynamics, yet current evidence points to structural and personal factors sustaining the low probability of voluntary exit within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
音量
$20,281終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, has produced no verified developments indicating an intent to step down before 2027, supporting the 95.9 percent trader consensus on “No.” Recent physical exam results released in late May 2026 described the president as remaining in excellent health with strong cardiac, neurological, and overall function despite minor reported issues, while partisan impeachment resolutions and calls for removal tied to foreign policy statements have not advanced beyond introduction. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations are rare, and public remarks from the administration have emphasized continuity rather than early departure. Midterm outcomes in November 2026 or subsequent legislative pressure could alter dynamics, yet current evidence points to structural and personal factors sustaining the low probability of voluntary exit within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$20,281終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, has produced no verified developments indicating an intent to step down before 2027, supporting the 95.9 percent trader consensus on “No.” Recent physical exam results released in late May 2026 described the president as remaining in excellent health with strong cardiac, neurological, and overall function despite minor reported issues, while partisan impeachment resolutions and calls for removal tied to foreign policy statements have not advanced beyond introduction. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations are rare, and public remarks from the administration have emphasized continuity rather than early departure. Midterm outcomes in November 2026 or subsequent legislative pressure could alter dynamics, yet current evidence points to structural and personal factors sustaining the low probability of voluntary exit within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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