Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, during heightened military conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process through the Assembly of Experts and an interim leadership council. Mojtaba Khamenei was unanimously selected as his successor on March 9 and has since consolidated power by appointing hardline IRGC-linked figures to key security and intelligence posts, including recent August 2026 moves that signal continuity in foreign policy posture and domestic control. Ongoing regional tensions, economic pressures, and the new leader’s public profile now shape assessments of any further leadership shifts, with traders monitoring diplomatic signals, military actions, and internal stability indicators through the end of any resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,976,422 Vol.
2026/08/22
8月22日
<1%
8月31日
1%
9月30日
4%
10月31日
8%
11月30日
10%
12月31日
16%
2027年6月30日
25%
$23,976,422 Vol.
8月22日
$79,499 Vol.
<1%
8月31日
$1,436,424 Vol.
1%
9月30日
$475,475 Vol.
4%
10月31日
$21,124 Vol.
8%
11月30日
$18,026 Vol.
10%
12月31日
$4,090,167 Vol.
16%
2027年6月30日
$247,516 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, during heightened military conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process through the Assembly of Experts and an interim leadership council. Mojtaba Khamenei was unanimously selected as his successor on March 9 and has since consolidated power by appointing hardline IRGC-linked figures to key security and intelligence posts, including recent August 2026 moves that signal continuity in foreign policy posture and domestic control. Ongoing regional tensions, economic pressures, and the new leader’s public profile now shape assessments of any further leadership shifts, with traders monitoring diplomatic signals, military actions, and internal stability indicators through the end of any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
音量
$23,976,422終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, during heightened military conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process through the Assembly of Experts and an interim leadership council. Mojtaba Khamenei was unanimously selected as his successor on March 9 and has since consolidated power by appointing hardline IRGC-linked figures to key security and intelligence posts, including recent August 2026 moves that signal continuity in foreign policy posture and domestic control. Ongoing regional tensions, economic pressures, and the new leader’s public profile now shape assessments of any further leadership shifts, with traders monitoring diplomatic signals, military actions, and internal stability indicators through the end of any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$23,976,422終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, during heightened military conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process through the Assembly of Experts and an interim leadership council. Mojtaba Khamenei was unanimously selected as his successor on March 9 and has since consolidated power by appointing hardline IRGC-linked figures to key security and intelligence posts, including recent August 2026 moves that signal continuity in foreign policy posture and domestic control. Ongoing regional tensions, economic pressures, and the new leader’s public profile now shape assessments of any further leadership shifts, with traders monitoring diplomatic signals, military actions, and internal stability indicators through the end of any resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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