Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts, an 88-member clerical body, formed an interim council and elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader’s son, as the new supreme leader on March 9 following a closed selection. The transition occurred amid active military conflict, IRGC influence, and reported collective governance arrangements involving the president, judiciary head, and military figures. As of mid-2026, Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position, though reports note limited public visibility and ongoing power-sharing dynamics that could shape future stability or further shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,976,422 Vol.
2026/08/22
8月22日
<1%
8月31日
1%
9月30日
4%
10月31日
8%
11月30日
10%
12月31日
16%
2027年6月30日
25%
$23,976,422 Vol.
8月22日
$79,499 Vol.
<1%
8月31日
$1,436,424 Vol.
1%
9月30日
$475,475 Vol.
4%
10月31日
$21,124 Vol.
8%
11月30日
$18,026 Vol.
10%
12月31日
$4,090,167 Vol.
16%
2027年6月30日
$247,516 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts, an 88-member clerical body, formed an interim council and elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader’s son, as the new supreme leader on March 9 following a closed selection. The transition occurred amid active military conflict, IRGC influence, and reported collective governance arrangements involving the president, judiciary head, and military figures. As of mid-2026, Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position, though reports note limited public visibility and ongoing power-sharing dynamics that could shape future stability or further shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
音量
$23,976,422終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts, an 88-member clerical body, formed an interim council and elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader’s son, as the new supreme leader on March 9 following a closed selection. The transition occurred amid active military conflict, IRGC influence, and reported collective governance arrangements involving the president, judiciary head, and military figures. As of mid-2026, Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position, though reports note limited public visibility and ongoing power-sharing dynamics that could shape future stability or further shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$23,976,422終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts, an 88-member clerical body, formed an interim council and elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader’s son, as the new supreme leader on March 9 following a closed selection. The transition occurred amid active military conflict, IRGC influence, and reported collective governance arrangements involving the president, judiciary head, and military figures. As of mid-2026, Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position, though reports note limited public visibility and ongoing power-sharing dynamics that could shape future stability or further shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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