Trader consensus shows a tight race between 6–10 second and 10–15 second outcomes because the upcoming Trump-Xi encounter remains subject to standard diplomatic protocol and last-minute adjustments. US-China relations, shaped by trade talks, technology restrictions, and Taiwan security issues, create uncertainty over whether the leaders will project warmth or formality during their meeting. Historical patterns from prior summits indicate typical handshake lengths fall in the mid-range, yet any pre-event announcements on economic policy, bilateral agreements, or geopolitical flashpoints could extend the interaction or keep it brief. Scheduled forums such as APEC provide the immediate timeline, with trader positioning reflecting the absence of definitive signals that would favor one duration bracket over others.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6〜10秒 32%
10〜15秒 27%
2〜6秒 20.7%
15秒以上 16%
$67,198 Vol.
$67,198 Vol.
2026/10/07
2秒未満
<1%
2〜6秒
21%
6〜10秒
32%
10〜15秒
27%
15秒以上
16%
握手写真のみ
<1%
6〜10秒 32%
10〜15秒 27%
2〜6秒 20.7%
15秒以上 16%
$67,198 Vol.
$67,198 Vol.
2026/10/07
2秒未満
$3,777 Vol.
<1%
2〜6秒
$8,810 Vol.
21%
6〜10秒
$16,381 Vol.
32%
10〜15秒
$18,198 Vol.
27%
15秒以上
$12,694 Vol.
16%
握手写真のみ
$3,332 Vol.
<1%
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus shows a tight race between 6–10 second and 10–15 second outcomes because the upcoming Trump-Xi encounter remains subject to standard diplomatic protocol and last-minute adjustments. US-China relations, shaped by trade talks, technology restrictions, and Taiwan security issues, create uncertainty over whether the leaders will project warmth or formality during their meeting. Historical patterns from prior summits indicate typical handshake lengths fall in the mid-range, yet any pre-event announcements on economic policy, bilateral agreements, or geopolitical flashpoints could extend the interaction or keep it brief. Scheduled forums such as APEC provide the immediate timeline, with trader positioning reflecting the absence of definitive signals that would favor one duration bracket over others.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
音量
$67,198終了日
2026/10/08マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 5:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus shows a tight race between 6–10 second and 10–15 second outcomes because the upcoming Trump-Xi encounter remains subject to standard diplomatic protocol and last-minute adjustments. US-China relations, shaped by trade talks, technology restrictions, and Taiwan security issues, create uncertainty over whether the leaders will project warmth or formality during their meeting. Historical patterns from prior summits indicate typical handshake lengths fall in the mid-range, yet any pre-event announcements on economic policy, bilateral agreements, or geopolitical flashpoints could extend the interaction or keep it brief. Scheduled forums such as APEC provide the immediate timeline, with trader positioning reflecting the absence of definitive signals that would favor one duration bracket over others.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
音量
$67,198終了日
2026/10/08マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 5:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus shows a tight race between 6–10 second and 10–15 second outcomes because the upcoming Trump-Xi encounter remains subject to standard diplomatic protocol and last-minute adjustments. US-China relations, shaped by trade talks, technology restrictions, and Taiwan security issues, create uncertainty over whether the leaders will project warmth or formality during their meeting. Historical patterns from prior summits indicate typical handshake lengths fall in the mid-range, yet any pre-event announcements on economic policy, bilateral agreements, or geopolitical flashpoints could extend the interaction or keep it brief. Scheduled forums such as APEC provide the immediate timeline, with trader positioning reflecting the absence of definitive signals that would favor one duration bracket over others.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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