Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland, combined with procedural barriers under international law and the U.S. Constitution, drives the near-certain trader consensus against acquisition by the end of 2026. Danish leaders have repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic officials and residents have rejected U.S. sovereignty in favor of continued ties to Copenhagen or full independence. Early 2026 negotiations produced expanded security cooperation and limits on rival investments rather than any transfer of ownership. High estimated costs near $1 trillion and the requirement for two-thirds Senate approval for any treaty further reduce prospects. A late diplomatic reversal, shift in Greenlandic public opinion, or breakthrough tied to Arctic security arrangements could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
3% 確率
$35,436,051 Vol.
$35,436,051 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
3% 確率
$35,436,051 Vol.
$35,436,051 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland, combined with procedural barriers under international law and the U.S. Constitution, drives the near-certain trader consensus against acquisition by the end of 2026. Danish leaders have repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic officials and residents have rejected U.S. sovereignty in favor of continued ties to Copenhagen or full independence. Early 2026 negotiations produced expanded security cooperation and limits on rival investments rather than any transfer of ownership. High estimated costs near $1 trillion and the requirement for two-thirds Senate approval for any treaty further reduce prospects. A late diplomatic reversal, shift in Greenlandic public opinion, or breakthrough tied to Arctic security arrangements could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
音量
$35,436,051終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland, combined with procedural barriers under international law and the U.S. Constitution, drives the near-certain trader consensus against acquisition by the end of 2026. Danish leaders have repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic officials and residents have rejected U.S. sovereignty in favor of continued ties to Copenhagen or full independence. Early 2026 negotiations produced expanded security cooperation and limits on rival investments rather than any transfer of ownership. High estimated costs near $1 trillion and the requirement for two-thirds Senate approval for any treaty further reduce prospects. A late diplomatic reversal, shift in Greenlandic public opinion, or breakthrough tied to Arctic security arrangements could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$35,436,051終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland, combined with procedural barriers under international law and the U.S. Constitution, drives the near-certain trader consensus against acquisition by the end of 2026. Danish leaders have repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic officials and residents have rejected U.S. sovereignty in favor of continued ties to Copenhagen or full independence. Early 2026 negotiations produced expanded security cooperation and limits on rival investments rather than any transfer of ownership. High estimated costs near $1 trillion and the requirement for two-thirds Senate approval for any treaty further reduce prospects. A late diplomatic reversal, shift in Greenlandic public opinion, or breakthrough tied to Arctic security arrangements could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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