Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho’s departure for the Senate, holds the highest implied probability in the Pará governor race due to her broad coalition and recent polling leads. A Real Time Big Data survey from mid-September showed her at 40% in the first-round scenario versus 35% for Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos, within the margin of error, with all other candidates below 4%. The October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff remain decisive, as undecided voters and late shifts in key municipalities could determine whether any candidate secures an outright majority or force a head-to-head contest that traders currently price as competitive between the top two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ハナ・ガッサン 62%
ダニエル・サントス博士 39%
エデル・マウロ 1.2%
ジルセウ・テン・カテン <1%
$46,566 Vol.
$46,566 Vol.
2026/10/04
ハナ・ガッサン
62%
ダニエル・サントス博士
32%
エデル・マウロ
1%
ジルセウ・テン・カテン
<1%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
<1%
ロジェリオ・バッハ
<1%
パウロ・ロシャ
<1%
ハナ・ガッサン 62%
ダニエル・サントス博士 39%
エデル・マウロ 1.2%
ジルセウ・テン・カテン <1%
$46,566 Vol.
$46,566 Vol.
2026/10/04
ハナ・ガッサン
$17,266 Vol.
62%
ダニエル・サントス博士
$12,558 Vol.
32%
エデル・マウロ
$5,308 Vol.
1%
ジルセウ・テン・カテン
$2,835 Vol.
<1%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
$2,831 Vol.
<1%
ロジェリオ・バッハ
$2,892 Vol.
<1%
パウロ・ロシャ
$2,875 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho’s departure for the Senate, holds the highest implied probability in the Pará governor race due to her broad coalition and recent polling leads. A Real Time Big Data survey from mid-September showed her at 40% in the first-round scenario versus 35% for Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos, within the margin of error, with all other candidates below 4%. The October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff remain decisive, as undecided voters and late shifts in key municipalities could determine whether any candidate secures an outright majority or force a head-to-head contest that traders currently price as competitive between the top two.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
音量
$46,566終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho’s departure for the Senate, holds the highest implied probability in the Pará governor race due to her broad coalition and recent polling leads. A Real Time Big Data survey from mid-September showed her at 40% in the first-round scenario versus 35% for Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos, within the margin of error, with all other candidates below 4%. The October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff remain decisive, as undecided voters and late shifts in key municipalities could determine whether any candidate secures an outright majority or force a head-to-head contest that traders currently price as competitive between the top two.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$46,566終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho’s departure for the Senate, holds the highest implied probability in the Pará governor race due to her broad coalition and recent polling leads. A Real Time Big Data survey from mid-September showed her at 40% in the first-round scenario versus 35% for Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos, within the margin of error, with all other candidates below 4%. The October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff remain decisive, as undecided voters and late shifts in key municipalities could determine whether any candidate secures an outright majority or force a head-to-head contest that traders currently price as competitive between the top two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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