The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with recent polls showing a technical tie between acting Governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos). Ghassan assumed the role after Helder Barbalho stepped aside to pursue a Senate seat, preserving the MDB-led coalition’s institutional advantages. Santos has emerged as the primary challenger, capitalizing on voter fatigue and a large pool of undecided respondents that keeps both frontrunners below 30 percent in stimulated scenarios. Minor candidates trail far behind and show limited momentum. Traders price the outcome near even odds because no candidate has consolidated support or benefited from decisive late-cycle events such as major endorsements, debate performances, or coalition realignments. Further polling shifts, primary outcomes, or Barbalho’s explicit positioning could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダニエル・サントス博士 50%
ハナ・ガッサン 42%
エデル・マウロ 3.0%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ 3.0%
$22,196 Vol.
$22,196 Vol.
2026/10/05
ダニエル・サントス博士
50%
ハナ・ガッサン
42%
エデル・マウロ
3%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
3%
ジルセウ・テン・カテン
3%
ロジェリオ・バッハ
1%
パウロ・ロシャ
6%
ダニエル・サントス博士 50%
ハナ・ガッサン 42%
エデル・マウロ 3.0%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ 3.0%
$22,196 Vol.
$22,196 Vol.
2026/10/05
ダニエル・サントス博士
$6,666 Vol.
50%
ハナ・ガッサン
$9,592 Vol.
42%
エデル・マウロ
$2,909 Vol.
3%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
$612 Vol.
3%
ジルセウ・テン・カテン
$725 Vol.
3%
ロジェリオ・バッハ
$797 Vol.
1%
パウロ・ロシャ
$895 Vol.
6%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with recent polls showing a technical tie between acting Governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos). Ghassan assumed the role after Helder Barbalho stepped aside to pursue a Senate seat, preserving the MDB-led coalition’s institutional advantages. Santos has emerged as the primary challenger, capitalizing on voter fatigue and a large pool of undecided respondents that keeps both frontrunners below 30 percent in stimulated scenarios. Minor candidates trail far behind and show limited momentum. Traders price the outcome near even odds because no candidate has consolidated support or benefited from decisive late-cycle events such as major endorsements, debate performances, or coalition realignments. Further polling shifts, primary outcomes, or Barbalho’s explicit positioning could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
音量
$22,196終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with recent polls showing a technical tie between acting Governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos). Ghassan assumed the role after Helder Barbalho stepped aside to pursue a Senate seat, preserving the MDB-led coalition’s institutional advantages. Santos has emerged as the primary challenger, capitalizing on voter fatigue and a large pool of undecided respondents that keeps both frontrunners below 30 percent in stimulated scenarios. Minor candidates trail far behind and show limited momentum. Traders price the outcome near even odds because no candidate has consolidated support or benefited from decisive late-cycle events such as major endorsements, debate performances, or coalition realignments. Further polling shifts, primary outcomes, or Barbalho’s explicit positioning could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$22,196終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with recent polls showing a technical tie between acting Governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos). Ghassan assumed the role after Helder Barbalho stepped aside to pursue a Senate seat, preserving the MDB-led coalition’s institutional advantages. Santos has emerged as the primary challenger, capitalizing on voter fatigue and a large pool of undecided respondents that keeps both frontrunners below 30 percent in stimulated scenarios. Minor candidates trail far behind and show limited momentum. Traders price the outcome near even odds because no candidate has consolidated support or benefited from decisive late-cycle events such as major endorsements, debate performances, or coalition realignments. Further polling shifts, primary outcomes, or Barbalho’s explicit positioning could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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