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政治·ブラジル

リオグランデ・ド・ノルテ州知事選挙の勝者

icon for リオグランデ・ド・ノルテ州知事選挙の勝者
政治·ブラジル

リオグランデ・ド・ノルテ州知事選挙の勝者

カドゥ・デ・ルラ 38%

アルヴァロ・ディアス 37%

ロドリゴ・ボルソナロ 37%

ロベリオ・パウリーノ教授 35%

Polymarket
新規

カドゥ・デ・ルラ 38%

アルヴァロ・ディアス 37%

ロドリゴ・ボルソナロ 37%

ロベリオ・パウリーノ教授 35%

Polymarket
新規
icon for カドゥ・デ・ルラ

カドゥ・デ・ルラ

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for アルヴァロ・ディアス

アルヴァロ・ディアス

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for ロドリゴ・ボルソナロ

ロドリゴ・ボルソナロ

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for ロベリオ・パウリーノ教授

ロベリオ・パウリーノ教授

$0 Vol.

35%

icon for アリソン

アリソン

$0 Vol.

35%

icon for エンリケ・リラ

エンリケ・リラ

$0 Vol.

35%

icon for アリナルダ・ド・MLB

アリナルダ・ド・MLB

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for ダリオ・バルボーザ

ダリオ・バルボーザ

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for カルロス・ジャララカ

カルロス・ジャララカ

$0 Vol.

33%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「リオグランデ・ド・ノルテ州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カドゥ・デ・ルラ」で39%、次いで「アルヴァロ・ディアス」が37%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、39¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に39%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「リオグランデ・ド・ノルテ州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「リオグランデ・ド・ノルテ州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「リオグランデ・ド・ノルテ州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「カドゥ・デ・ルラ」で39%であり、市場がこの結果に39%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アルヴァロ・ディアス」で37%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「リオグランデ・ド・ノルテ州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。