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政治·ブラジル

アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者

icon for アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者
政治·ブラジル

アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者

オマール・アジズ 53%

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 53%

ロベルト・シダーデ 45%

カボ・ダシオロ 41%

Polymarket
新規

オマール・アジズ 53%

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 53%

ロベルト・シダーデ 45%

カボ・ダシオロ 41%

Polymarket
新規
icon for オマール・アジズ

オマール・アジズ

$0 Vol.

53%

icon for プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ

$0 Vol.

53%

icon for ロベルト・シダーデ

ロベルト・シダーデ

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for カボ・ダシオロ

カボ・ダシオロ

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for ダビデ・アルメイダ

ダビデ・アルメイダ

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス

ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス

$20 Vol.

8%

icon for イサエル・ムンドゥルク

イサエル・ムンドゥルク

$25 Vol.

7%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race stays tightly contested because a fragmented field of viable contenders continues to split voter preferences in recent polls, with no candidate consolidating a clear majority ahead of the October 4 first round. Omar Aziz (PSD) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) sit at the front of trader pricing after securing key coalition backing and performing steadily in July-August surveys, while Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and David Almeida (Avante) remain within striking distance in the low-to-mid twenties. The first debate among leading names occurred in mid-August, highlighting policy contrasts on state management and economic issues without producing decisive shifts. Upcoming polling releases, coalition negotiations, and regional turnout patterns in Manaus versus the interior could widen gaps or force a runoff scenario before election day.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$45
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race stays tightly contested because a fragmented field of viable contenders continues to split voter preferences in recent polls, with no candidate consolidating a clear majority ahead of the October 4 first round. Omar Aziz (PSD) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) sit at the front of trader pricing after securing key coalition backing and performing steadily in July-August surveys, while Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and David Almeida (Avante) remain within striking distance in the low-to-mid twenties. The first debate among leading names occurred in mid-August, highlighting policy contrasts on state management and economic issues without producing decisive shifts. Upcoming polling releases, coalition negotiations, and regional turnout patterns in Manaus versus the interior could widen gaps or force a runoff scenario before election day.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$45
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「オマール・アジズ」で53%、次いで「プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ」が53%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、53¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に53%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「オマール・アジズ」で53%であり、市場がこの結果に53%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ」で53%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。