The Roraima supplementary gubernatorial race remains tightly contested in trader pricing, with no candidate exceeding 50% implied probability amid a crowded field that includes Arthur Henrique (PL), Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), Rosi Aires, and others. A June 2026 special election produced a clear first-round majority for one contender, yet the result stays unresolved due to pending eligibility reviews by electoral courts, including rulings on prior officeholders and potential disqualifications. Recent party conventions have formalized additional candidacies and running mates, while voter registration reached record levels ahead of the October general election cycle. These legal uncertainties and the fragmented opposition keep probabilities clustered near even, with separation likely hinging on forthcoming court decisions, confirmation of vote validity, or shifts in alliances before any runoff or re-vote trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ファラー・メスキータ 46%
クレビオ・ジェヌイーノ 45%
ロジ・アイルス 45%
アルトゥール・エンリケ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ファラー・メスキータ
46%
クレビオ・ジェヌイーノ
45%
ロジ・アイルス
45%
アルトゥール・エンリケ
44%
ソルダード・サンパイオ
44%
ファラー・メスキータ 46%
クレビオ・ジェヌイーノ 45%
ロジ・アイルス 45%
アルトゥール・エンリケ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ファラー・メスキータ
$0 Vol.
46%
クレビオ・ジェヌイーノ
$0 Vol.
45%
ロジ・アイルス
$0 Vol.
45%
アルトゥール・エンリケ
$0 Vol.
44%
ソルダード・サンパイオ
$0 Vol.
44%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima supplementary gubernatorial race remains tightly contested in trader pricing, with no candidate exceeding 50% implied probability amid a crowded field that includes Arthur Henrique (PL), Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), Rosi Aires, and others. A June 2026 special election produced a clear first-round majority for one contender, yet the result stays unresolved due to pending eligibility reviews by electoral courts, including rulings on prior officeholders and potential disqualifications. Recent party conventions have formalized additional candidacies and running mates, while voter registration reached record levels ahead of the October general election cycle. These legal uncertainties and the fragmented opposition keep probabilities clustered near even, with separation likely hinging on forthcoming court decisions, confirmation of vote validity, or shifts in alliances before any runoff or re-vote trigger.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima supplementary gubernatorial race remains tightly contested in trader pricing, with no candidate exceeding 50% implied probability amid a crowded field that includes Arthur Henrique (PL), Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), Rosi Aires, and others. A June 2026 special election produced a clear first-round majority for one contender, yet the result stays unresolved due to pending eligibility reviews by electoral courts, including rulings on prior officeholders and potential disqualifications. Recent party conventions have formalized additional candidacies and running mates, while voter registration reached record levels ahead of the October general election cycle. These legal uncertainties and the fragmented opposition keep probabilities clustered near even, with separation likely hinging on forthcoming court decisions, confirmation of vote validity, or shifts in alliances before any runoff or re-vote trigger.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima supplementary gubernatorial race remains tightly contested in trader pricing, with no candidate exceeding 50% implied probability amid a crowded field that includes Arthur Henrique (PL), Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), Rosi Aires, and others. A June 2026 special election produced a clear first-round majority for one contender, yet the result stays unresolved due to pending eligibility reviews by electoral courts, including rulings on prior officeholders and potential disqualifications. Recent party conventions have formalized additional candidacies and running mates, while voter registration reached record levels ahead of the October general election cycle. These legal uncertainties and the fragmented opposition keep probabilities clustered near even, with separation likely hinging on forthcoming court decisions, confirmation of vote validity, or shifts in alliances before any runoff or re-vote trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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