Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance and his status as incumbent seeking a second term. Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show the contest within a few points amid mixed results, including one September survey giving Democrat Adam Hamilton a narrow lead. Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary against a crowded field and has drawn attention for strong fundraising and independent voter appeal. Forecasters generally rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, though some view it as a tossup. Traders appear to weigh structural factors and historical patterns more heavily than recent polling volatility ahead of the November 3 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$176,500 Vol.
$176,500 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロジャー・マーシャル（共和党）
69%
アダム・ハミルトン（民主党）
32%
$176,500 Vol.
$176,500 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロジャー・マーシャル（共和党）
$68,215 Vol.
69%
アダム・ハミルトン（民主党）
$108,285 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance and his status as incumbent seeking a second term. Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show the contest within a few points amid mixed results, including one September survey giving Democrat Adam Hamilton a narrow lead. Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary against a crowded field and has drawn attention for strong fundraising and independent voter appeal. Forecasters generally rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, though some view it as a tossup. Traders appear to weigh structural factors and historical patterns more heavily than recent polling volatility ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$176,500終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance and his status as incumbent seeking a second term. Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show the contest within a few points amid mixed results, including one September survey giving Democrat Adam Hamilton a narrow lead. Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary against a crowded field and has drawn attention for strong fundraising and independent voter appeal. Forecasters generally rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, though some view it as a tossup. Traders appear to weigh structural factors and historical patterns more heavily than recent polling volatility ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$176,500終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance and his status as incumbent seeking a second term. Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show the contest within a few points amid mixed results, including one September survey giving Democrat Adam Hamilton a narrow lead. Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary against a crowded field and has drawn attention for strong fundraising and independent voter appeal. Forecasters generally rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, though some view it as a tossup. Traders appear to weigh structural factors and historical patterns more heavily than recent polling volatility ahead of the November 3 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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