Kansas's partisan voting patterns and the presence of an incumbent Republican senator continue to shape trader consensus in this race. Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state, where forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican and early 2026 polling shows him ahead of Democratic primary contenders by margins of roughly 8 points. Primaries are set for August 4 and the general election for November 3, with no major shifts in candidate fields, polling trends, or external events reported in recent weeks. The state's consistent Republican performance in federal Senate races reinforces the current implied probabilities, though late-cycle developments such as primary outcomes or national political shifts could still influence positioning before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,219 Vol.
$30,219 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
80%
民主党
19%
$30,219 Vol.
$30,219 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$18,634 Vol.
80%
民主党
$11,585 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's partisan voting patterns and the presence of an incumbent Republican senator continue to shape trader consensus in this race. Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state, where forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican and early 2026 polling shows him ahead of Democratic primary contenders by margins of roughly 8 points. Primaries are set for August 4 and the general election for November 3, with no major shifts in candidate fields, polling trends, or external events reported in recent weeks. The state's consistent Republican performance in federal Senate races reinforces the current implied probabilities, though late-cycle developments such as primary outcomes or national political shifts could still influence positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$30,219終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's partisan voting patterns and the presence of an incumbent Republican senator continue to shape trader consensus in this race. Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state, where forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican and early 2026 polling shows him ahead of Democratic primary contenders by margins of roughly 8 points. Primaries are set for August 4 and the general election for November 3, with no major shifts in candidate fields, polling trends, or external events reported in recent weeks. The state's consistent Republican performance in federal Senate races reinforces the current implied probabilities, though late-cycle developments such as primary outcomes or national political shifts could still influence positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$30,219終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's partisan voting patterns and the presence of an incumbent Republican senator continue to shape trader consensus in this race. Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state, where forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican and early 2026 polling shows him ahead of Democratic primary contenders by margins of roughly 8 points. Primaries are set for August 4 and the general election for November 3, with no major shifts in candidate fields, polling trends, or external events reported in recent weeks. The state's consistent Republican performance in federal Senate races reinforces the current implied probabilities, though late-cycle developments such as primary outcomes or national political shifts could still influence positioning before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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