Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring a GOP victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and Marshall's prior performance. Recent general election polling shows the incumbent leading Democratic primary contenders by single digits, with no major shifts from candidate announcements or external events in recent weeks. Primaries scheduled for August 4 will narrow the fields before the November general election, though structural factors like Kansas's electoral history continue to shape expectations for the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,826 Vol.
$29,826 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
19%
$29,826 Vol.
$29,826 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$18,245 Vol.
79%
民主党
$11,580 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring a GOP victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and Marshall's prior performance. Recent general election polling shows the incumbent leading Democratic primary contenders by single digits, with no major shifts from candidate announcements or external events in recent weeks. Primaries scheduled for August 4 will narrow the fields before the November general election, though structural factors like Kansas's electoral history continue to shape expectations for the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$29,826終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring a GOP victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and Marshall's prior performance. Recent general election polling shows the incumbent leading Democratic primary contenders by single digits, with no major shifts from candidate announcements or external events in recent weeks. Primaries scheduled for August 4 will narrow the fields before the November general election, though structural factors like Kansas's electoral history continue to shape expectations for the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$29,826終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring a GOP victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and Marshall's prior performance. Recent general election polling shows the incumbent leading Democratic primary contenders by single digits, with no major shifts from candidate announcements or external events in recent weeks. Primaries scheduled for August 4 will narrow the fields before the November general election, though structural factors like Kansas's electoral history continue to shape expectations for the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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