Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor of Cape Town since 2021 and the party's newly elected federal leader since April 2026, holds a dominant position as the DA's official mayoral candidate for the November 2026 municipal elections. The DA's longstanding governance record in the city, combined with Hill-Lewis's June 2026 campaign pledges on safety, cleanliness, and affordability, underpins trader consensus reflected in his 89.5% implied probability. Opposition candidates from parties including the EFF, Patriotic Alliance, ActionSA, GOOD, and others trail significantly, with limited recent polling or coalition shifts altering their lower odds. Upcoming local elections and any late coalition negotiations remain the primary variables that could still influence outcomes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス 90%
カリード・サイード 5%
ノンタンド・ノルツング 5%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ 3.5%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス
90%
カリード・サイード
5%
ノンタンド・ノルツング
5%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ
4%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ
3%
デリリーン・ジェームズ
2%
ブレット・ヘロン
1%
エレン・パッキーズ
1%
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス 90%
カリード・サイード 5%
ノンタンド・ノルツング 5%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ 3.5%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス
$3,025 Vol.
90%
カリード・サイード
$159 Vol.
5%
ノンタンド・ノルツング
$155 Vol.
5%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ
$110 Vol.
4%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ
$124 Vol.
3%
デリリーン・ジェームズ
$124 Vol.
2%
ブレット・ヘロン
$109 Vol.
1%
エレン・パッキーズ
$125 Vol.
1%
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor of Cape Town since 2021 and the party's newly elected federal leader since April 2026, holds a dominant position as the DA's official mayoral candidate for the November 2026 municipal elections. The DA's longstanding governance record in the city, combined with Hill-Lewis's June 2026 campaign pledges on safety, cleanliness, and affordability, underpins trader consensus reflected in his 89.5% implied probability. Opposition candidates from parties including the EFF, Patriotic Alliance, ActionSA, GOOD, and others trail significantly, with limited recent polling or coalition shifts altering their lower odds. Upcoming local elections and any late coalition negotiations remain the primary variables that could still influence outcomes before resolution.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
音量
$3,932終了日
2026/11/18マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor of Cape Town since 2021 and the party's newly elected federal leader since April 2026, holds a dominant position as the DA's official mayoral candidate for the November 2026 municipal elections. The DA's longstanding governance record in the city, combined with Hill-Lewis's June 2026 campaign pledges on safety, cleanliness, and affordability, underpins trader consensus reflected in his 89.5% implied probability. Opposition candidates from parties including the EFF, Patriotic Alliance, ActionSA, GOOD, and others trail significantly, with limited recent polling or coalition shifts altering their lower odds. Upcoming local elections and any late coalition negotiations remain the primary variables that could still influence outcomes before resolution.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,932終了日
2026/11/18マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor of Cape Town since 2021 and the party's newly elected federal leader since April 2026, holds a dominant position as the DA's official mayoral candidate for the November 2026 municipal elections. The DA's longstanding governance record in the city, combined with Hill-Lewis's June 2026 campaign pledges on safety, cleanliness, and affordability, underpins trader consensus reflected in his 89.5% implied probability. Opposition candidates from parties including the EFF, Patriotic Alliance, ActionSA, GOOD, and others trail significantly, with limited recent polling or coalition shifts altering their lower odds. Upcoming local elections and any late coalition negotiations remain the primary variables that could still influence outcomes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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