James Fishback holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability of finishing third in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because unofficial results with 98% of votes counted placed him behind frontrunner Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Donalds secured roughly 48% as the Trump-endorsed nominee while Collins took second at 25%, leaving Fishback at about 10.5% ahead of Paul Renner and the remaining entrants. Trader consensus reflects the completed vote tabulation and the low likelihood of any reversal through outstanding ballots or certification challenges. Only late procedural disputes or official recounts altering the final ordering could shift the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジェームズ・フィッシュバック 98.4%
ジェームズ・ウォーカー・ショー 3.2%
ジェイ・コリンズ 2.9%
バイロン・ドナルズ 2.9%
$1,741 Vol.
$1,741 Vol.
ジェームズ・フィッシュバック
98%
ジェームズ・ウォーカー・ショー
3%
ジェイ・コリンズ
3%
バイロン・ドナルズ
3%
ダニエル・ノコビッチ
3%
ジム・ホルコム
1%
アーサー・ジョセフ・マカフリー
1%
レイチェル・ロドリゲス
1%
カネステ・サクセ
1%
ボビー・ウィリアムズ
1%
ポール・レナー
-
ジェームズ・フィッシュバック 98.4%
ジェームズ・ウォーカー・ショー 3.2%
ジェイ・コリンズ 2.9%
バイロン・ドナルズ 2.9%
$1,741 Vol.
$1,741 Vol.
ジェームズ・フィッシュバック
98%
ジェームズ・ウォーカー・ショー
3%
ジェイ・コリンズ
3%
バイロン・ドナルズ
3%
ダニエル・ノコビッチ
3%
ジム・ホルコム
1%
アーサー・ジョセフ・マカフリー
1%
レイチェル・ロドリゲス
1%
カネステ・サクセ
1%
ボビー・ウィリアムズ
1%
ポール・レナー
-
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...James Fishback holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability of finishing third in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because unofficial results with 98% of votes counted placed him behind frontrunner Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Donalds secured roughly 48% as the Trump-endorsed nominee while Collins took second at 25%, leaving Fishback at about 10.5% ahead of Paul Renner and the remaining entrants. Trader consensus reflects the completed vote tabulation and the low likelihood of any reversal through outstanding ballots or certification challenges. Only late procedural disputes or official recounts altering the final ordering could shift the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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