**Incumbent James Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina’s 6th congressional district with over 90 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while the Republican nominee emerged from a low-turnout contest.** Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s established partisan composition and voting patterns in recent cycles. Clyburn’s long tenure, combined with the failure of earlier Republican-led redistricting efforts to alter the lines before primaries, has reinforced the seat’s Democratic tilt. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the limited competitiveness of the Republican challenge and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a shift. A late-breaking development such as an unforeseen health issue for the incumbent, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,860 Vol.
$34,860 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$34,860 Vol.
$34,860 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$18,636 Vol.
95%
共和党
$16,224 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent James Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina’s 6th congressional district with over 90 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while the Republican nominee emerged from a low-turnout contest.** Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s established partisan composition and voting patterns in recent cycles. Clyburn’s long tenure, combined with the failure of earlier Republican-led redistricting efforts to alter the lines before primaries, has reinforced the seat’s Democratic tilt. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the limited competitiveness of the Republican challenge and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a shift. A late-breaking development such as an unforeseen health issue for the incumbent, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$34,860終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent James Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina’s 6th congressional district with over 90 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while the Republican nominee emerged from a low-turnout contest.** Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s established partisan composition and voting patterns in recent cycles. Clyburn’s long tenure, combined with the failure of earlier Republican-led redistricting efforts to alter the lines before primaries, has reinforced the seat’s Democratic tilt. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the limited competitiveness of the Republican challenge and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a shift. A late-breaking development such as an unforeseen health issue for the incumbent, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,860終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent James Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina’s 6th congressional district with over 90 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while the Republican nominee emerged from a low-turnout contest.** Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s established partisan composition and voting patterns in recent cycles. Clyburn’s long tenure, combined with the failure of earlier Republican-led redistricting efforts to alter the lines before primaries, has reinforced the seat’s Democratic tilt. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the limited competitiveness of the Republican challenge and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a shift. A late-breaking development such as an unforeseen health issue for the incumbent, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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