Incumbent Democratic Representative Shontel Brown advanced easily through her May 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote in Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a Cleveland-area seat long rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's urban voter base and consistent partisan lean have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting any Republican path to victory despite Mike Kirchner's nomination. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of competitive polling shifts, fundraising gaps, or late developments that could alter the outcome before November. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national wave would be required to meaningfully change the race dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,745 Vol.
94%
共和党
$2,933 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Shontel Brown advanced easily through her May 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote in Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a Cleveland-area seat long rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's urban voter base and consistent partisan lean have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting any Republican path to victory despite Mike Kirchner's nomination. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of competitive polling shifts, fundraising gaps, or late developments that could alter the outcome before November. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national wave would be required to meaningfully change the race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$8,678終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Shontel Brown advanced easily through her May 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote in Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a Cleveland-area seat long rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's urban voter base and consistent partisan lean have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting any Republican path to victory despite Mike Kirchner's nomination. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of competitive polling shifts, fundraising gaps, or late developments that could alter the outcome before November. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national wave would be required to meaningfully change the race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,678終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Shontel Brown advanced easily through her May 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote in Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a Cleveland-area seat long rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's urban voter base and consistent partisan lean have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting any Republican path to victory despite Mike Kirchner's nomination. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of competitive polling shifts, fundraising gaps, or late developments that could alter the outcome before November. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national wave would be required to meaningfully change the race dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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