Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she secured 57.7% against Ricardo Cabrera's 37%. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with her 2024 general election margin. This consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a late scandal involving Jacobs, a significant national political realignment affecting turnout, or an unforeseen health event, though such developments remain low-probability given the structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,967 Vol.
$33,967 Vol.
2026/11/02
サラ・ジェイコブス（民主党）
96%
リカルド・カブレラ（共和党）
5%
$33,967 Vol.
$33,967 Vol.
2026/11/02
サラ・ジェイコブス（民主党）
$18,229 Vol.
96%
リカルド・カブレラ（共和党）
$15,738 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she secured 57.7% against Ricardo Cabrera's 37%. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with her 2024 general election margin. This consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a late scandal involving Jacobs, a significant national political realignment affecting turnout, or an unforeseen health event, though such developments remain low-probability given the structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$33,967終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she secured 57.7% against Ricardo Cabrera's 37%. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with her 2024 general election margin. This consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a late scandal involving Jacobs, a significant national political realignment affecting turnout, or an unforeseen health event, though such developments remain low-probability given the structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,967終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she secured 57.7% against Ricardo Cabrera's 37%. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with her 2024 general election margin. This consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a late scandal involving Jacobs, a significant national political realignment affecting turnout, or an unforeseen health event, though such developments remain low-probability given the structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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