Incumbent Democratic Representative Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district ahead of the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13, combined with Jacobs' primary performance on June 2 where she advanced comfortably against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, underpins the trader consensus favoring Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting voter turnout in this San Diego-area seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,957 Vol.
$28,957 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$28,957 Vol.
$28,957 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,910 Vol.
94%
共和党
$14,046 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district ahead of the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13, combined with Jacobs' primary performance on June 2 where she advanced comfortably against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, underpins the trader consensus favoring Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting voter turnout in this San Diego-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$28,957終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district ahead of the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13, combined with Jacobs' primary performance on June 2 where she advanced comfortably against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, underpins the trader consensus favoring Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting voter turnout in this San Diego-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,957終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district ahead of the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13, combined with Jacobs' primary performance on June 2 where she advanced comfortably against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, underpins the trader consensus favoring Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting voter turnout in this San Diego-area seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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