Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+16, combined with Peters' established record and fundraising edge, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic winner at 93.5%. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, further strengthened the partisan tilt in Democratic-leaning areas. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the top-two primary, while Republican challengers face structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unexpected national political shift could still alter outcomes, though current evidence points to limited near-term risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,087 Vol.
$36,087 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$36,087 Vol.
$36,087 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$20,764 Vol.
94%
共和党
$15,322 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+16, combined with Peters' established record and fundraising edge, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic winner at 93.5%. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, further strengthened the partisan tilt in Democratic-leaning areas. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the top-two primary, while Republican challengers face structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unexpected national political shift could still alter outcomes, though current evidence points to limited near-term risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$36,087終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+16, combined with Peters' established record and fundraising edge, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic winner at 93.5%. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, further strengthened the partisan tilt in Democratic-leaning areas. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the top-two primary, while Republican challengers face structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unexpected national political shift could still alter outcomes, though current evidence points to limited near-term risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,087終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+16, combined with Peters' established record and fundraising edge, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic winner at 93.5%. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, further strengthened the partisan tilt in Democratic-leaning areas. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the top-two primary, while Republican challengers face structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unexpected national political shift could still alter outcomes, though current evidence points to limited near-term risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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