Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5 percent probability for a Republican victory. Longstanding partisan voting patterns, a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13, and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles continue to anchor trader expectations. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves has produced a competitive August primary among several Republican contenders, yet the district’s rural character and voter composition have kept general-election odds largely unchanged. A Democratic win would require an unusually strong national environment or an unanticipated local development capable of shifting turnout in this low-competition landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,057 Vol.
$28,057 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$28,057 Vol.
$28,057 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$22,502 Vol.
92%
民主党
$5,555 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5 percent probability for a Republican victory. Longstanding partisan voting patterns, a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13, and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles continue to anchor trader expectations. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves has produced a competitive August primary among several Republican contenders, yet the district’s rural character and voter composition have kept general-election odds largely unchanged. A Democratic win would require an unusually strong national environment or an unanticipated local development capable of shifting turnout in this low-competition landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$28,057終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5 percent probability for a Republican victory. Longstanding partisan voting patterns, a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13, and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles continue to anchor trader expectations. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves has produced a competitive August primary among several Republican contenders, yet the district’s rural character and voter composition have kept general-election odds largely unchanged. A Democratic win would require an unusually strong national environment or an unanticipated local development capable of shifting turnout in this low-competition landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,057終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5 percent probability for a Republican victory. Longstanding partisan voting patterns, a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13, and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles continue to anchor trader expectations. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves has produced a competitive August primary among several Republican contenders, yet the district’s rural character and voter composition have kept general-election odds largely unchanged. A Democratic win would require an unusually strong national environment or an unanticipated local development capable of shifting turnout in this low-competition landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問