Missouri's 6th congressional district, encompassing rural northern areas including St. Joseph and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and is rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired in March 2026, opening the seat, yet the August 4 Republican primary produced nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed over several challengers in a contest that drew limited external spending. Democrat Josh Smead advanced from his party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. The strong Republican consensus reflects the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive general-election indicators, though an unforeseen scandal or sharp national realignment before November 3 could theoretically compress the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,982 Vol.
$40,982 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$40,982 Vol.
$40,982 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$26,328 Vol.
94%
民主党
$14,654 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district, encompassing rural northern areas including St. Joseph and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and is rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired in March 2026, opening the seat, yet the August 4 Republican primary produced nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed over several challengers in a contest that drew limited external spending. Democrat Josh Smead advanced from his party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. The strong Republican consensus reflects the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive general-election indicators, though an unforeseen scandal or sharp national realignment before November 3 could theoretically compress the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$40,982終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district, encompassing rural northern areas including St. Joseph and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and is rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired in March 2026, opening the seat, yet the August 4 Republican primary produced nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed over several challengers in a contest that drew limited external spending. Democrat Josh Smead advanced from his party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. The strong Republican consensus reflects the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive general-election indicators, though an unforeseen scandal or sharp national realignment before November 3 could theoretically compress the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,982終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th congressional district, encompassing rural northern areas including St. Joseph and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and is rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired in March 2026, opening the seat, yet the August 4 Republican primary produced nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed over several challengers in a contest that drew limited external spending. Democrat Josh Smead advanced from his party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. The strong Republican consensus reflects the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive general-election indicators, though an unforeseen scandal or sharp national realignment before November 3 could theoretically compress the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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