Incumbent Republican David Joyce secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary win and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Ohio's 14th congressional district. The seat's Republican lean, reinforced by the October 2025 redistricting map, combined with Joyce's long tenure and fundraising edge, underpins the 90.5% trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Maria Jukic faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,177 Vol.
$35,177 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$35,177 Vol.
$35,177 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$19,481 Vol.
91%
民主党
$15,696 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Joyce secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary win and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Ohio's 14th congressional district. The seat's Republican lean, reinforced by the October 2025 redistricting map, combined with Joyce's long tenure and fundraising edge, underpins the 90.5% trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Maria Jukic faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$35,177終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Joyce secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary win and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Ohio's 14th congressional district. The seat's Republican lean, reinforced by the October 2025 redistricting map, combined with Joyce's long tenure and fundraising edge, underpins the 90.5% trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Maria Jukic faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,177終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Joyce secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary win and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Ohio's 14th congressional district. The seat's Republican lean, reinforced by the October 2025 redistricting map, combined with Joyce's long tenure and fundraising edge, underpins the 90.5% trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Maria Jukic faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問