Virginia's 11th Congressional District maintains a deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent James Walkinshaw, who captured the seat in a 2025 special election, benefits from strong fundraising and the district's Northern Virginia base, where Democratic presidential margins have exceeded 30 points in recent cycles. Republican nominee Arthur Purves, a perennial candidate, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout primary environment ahead of the August 4 contest. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unexpected court-ordered redistricting, or sharp national partisan shifts could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,982 Vol.
$18,982 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$18,982 Vol.
$18,982 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,280 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,702 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th Congressional District maintains a deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent James Walkinshaw, who captured the seat in a 2025 special election, benefits from strong fundraising and the district's Northern Virginia base, where Democratic presidential margins have exceeded 30 points in recent cycles. Republican nominee Arthur Purves, a perennial candidate, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout primary environment ahead of the August 4 contest. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unexpected court-ordered redistricting, or sharp national partisan shifts could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$18,982終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th Congressional District maintains a deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent James Walkinshaw, who captured the seat in a 2025 special election, benefits from strong fundraising and the district's Northern Virginia base, where Democratic presidential margins have exceeded 30 points in recent cycles. Republican nominee Arthur Purves, a perennial candidate, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout primary environment ahead of the August 4 contest. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unexpected court-ordered redistricting, or sharp national partisan shifts could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,982終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th Congressional District maintains a deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent James Walkinshaw, who captured the seat in a 2025 special election, benefits from strong fundraising and the district's Northern Virginia base, where Democratic presidential margins have exceeded 30 points in recent cycles. Republican nominee Arthur Purves, a perennial candidate, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout primary environment ahead of the August 4 contest. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unexpected court-ordered redistricting, or sharp national partisan shifts could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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