Virginia's 11th congressional district carries a D+18 partisan voter index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the 2025 special election with 75 percent of the vote and faces only a nominal Republican challenge from Arthur Purves in the 2026 general election scheduled for November 3. The August Democratic primary is not expected to alter the outcome given the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant national political shift or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could still affect final results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,980 Vol.
$18,980 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$18,980 Vol.
$18,980 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district carries a D+18 partisan voter index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the 2025 special election with 75 percent of the vote and faces only a nominal Republican challenge from Arthur Purves in the 2026 general election scheduled for November 3. The August Democratic primary is not expected to alter the outcome given the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant national political shift or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could still affect final results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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