James Walkinshaw secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after the August 2026 primary was canceled, building on his September 2025 special election victory in Virginia’s 11th District by roughly 50 points. The solidly Democratic district, encompassing much of Fairfax County and federal workforce-heavy areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the party. Arthur Purves advanced as the Republican nominee without primary opposition but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established partisan baseline and Walkinshaw’s incumbency advantages. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout among federal employees and suburban voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,291 Vol.
$28,291 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェームズ・ウォーキンショー（民主党）
97%
アーサー・パーヴィス（共和党）
<1%
$28,291 Vol.
$28,291 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェームズ・ウォーキンショー（民主党）
$16,650 Vol.
97%
アーサー・パーヴィス（共和党）
$11,641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).James Walkinshaw secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after the August 2026 primary was canceled, building on his September 2025 special election victory in Virginia’s 11th District by roughly 50 points. The solidly Democratic district, encompassing much of Fairfax County and federal workforce-heavy areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the party. Arthur Purves advanced as the Republican nominee without primary opposition but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established partisan baseline and Walkinshaw’s incumbency advantages. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout among federal employees and suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$28,291終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).James Walkinshaw secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after the August 2026 primary was canceled, building on his September 2025 special election victory in Virginia’s 11th District by roughly 50 points. The solidly Democratic district, encompassing much of Fairfax County and federal workforce-heavy areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the party. Arthur Purves advanced as the Republican nominee without primary opposition but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established partisan baseline and Walkinshaw’s incumbency advantages. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout among federal employees and suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,291終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...James Walkinshaw secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after the August 2026 primary was canceled, building on his September 2025 special election victory in Virginia’s 11th District by roughly 50 points. The solidly Democratic district, encompassing much of Fairfax County and federal workforce-heavy areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the party. Arthur Purves advanced as the Republican nominee without primary opposition but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established partisan baseline and Walkinshaw’s incumbency advantages. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout among federal employees and suburban voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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