Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The solidly Republican-leaning district and Smucker’s incumbency since 2019 have produced limited Democratic momentum, with nominee Nancy Mannion facing structural headwinds typical of GOP-held seats outside major swing areas. Primaries concluded in May 2026 without altering the underlying partisan balance or generating notable turnout surprises. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with historical patterns for similar districts, where incumbents in non-competitive terrain maintain high probabilities of retention absent major shifts in national conditions or district-specific events. The race remains on track for November resolution with no scheduled milestones likely to reorder the field before then.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,832 Vol.
90%
民主党
$4,950 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The solidly Republican-leaning district and Smucker’s incumbency since 2019 have produced limited Democratic momentum, with nominee Nancy Mannion facing structural headwinds typical of GOP-held seats outside major swing areas. Primaries concluded in May 2026 without altering the underlying partisan balance or generating notable turnout surprises. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with historical patterns for similar districts, where incumbents in non-competitive terrain maintain high probabilities of retention absent major shifts in national conditions or district-specific events. The race remains on track for November resolution with no scheduled milestones likely to reorder the field before then.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$14,782終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The solidly Republican-leaning district and Smucker’s incumbency since 2019 have produced limited Democratic momentum, with nominee Nancy Mannion facing structural headwinds typical of GOP-held seats outside major swing areas. Primaries concluded in May 2026 without altering the underlying partisan balance or generating notable turnout surprises. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with historical patterns for similar districts, where incumbents in non-competitive terrain maintain high probabilities of retention absent major shifts in national conditions or district-specific events. The race remains on track for November resolution with no scheduled milestones likely to reorder the field before then.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,782終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The solidly Republican-leaning district and Smucker’s incumbency since 2019 have produced limited Democratic momentum, with nominee Nancy Mannion facing structural headwinds typical of GOP-held seats outside major swing areas. Primaries concluded in May 2026 without altering the underlying partisan balance or generating notable turnout surprises. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with historical patterns for similar districts, where incumbents in non-competitive terrain maintain high probabilities of retention absent major shifts in national conditions or district-specific events. The race remains on track for November resolution with no scheduled milestones likely to reorder the field before then.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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