Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley secured the nomination in an upset primary victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong after re-entering the race with the endorsement of retiring Gov. Tony Evers, unifying much of the party behind his moderate profile and Milwaukee-area base. Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won his primary with little opposition. Recent Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley holding a modest lead among likely voters while remaining tied among all registered voters, with independents and turnout patterns emerging as key variables in the November 3 contest for the open seat. Traders appear to weigh these Democratic structural factors, historical open-seat patterns in Wisconsin, and the race's status as a toss-up or lean-Democratic among forecasters when pricing the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$501,078 Vol.
$501,078 Vol.
2026/11/02
デビッド・クロウリー（民主党）
81%
トム・ティファニー（共和党）
20%
$501,078 Vol.
$501,078 Vol.
2026/11/02
デビッド・クロウリー（民主党）
$258,637 Vol.
81%
トム・ティファニー（共和党）
$242,441 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley secured the nomination in an upset primary victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong after re-entering the race with the endorsement of retiring Gov. Tony Evers, unifying much of the party behind his moderate profile and Milwaukee-area base. Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won his primary with little opposition. Recent Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley holding a modest lead among likely voters while remaining tied among all registered voters, with independents and turnout patterns emerging as key variables in the November 3 contest for the open seat. Traders appear to weigh these Democratic structural factors, historical open-seat patterns in Wisconsin, and the race's status as a toss-up or lean-Democratic among forecasters when pricing the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$501,078終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley secured the nomination in an upset primary victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong after re-entering the race with the endorsement of retiring Gov. Tony Evers, unifying much of the party behind his moderate profile and Milwaukee-area base. Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won his primary with little opposition. Recent Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley holding a modest lead among likely voters while remaining tied among all registered voters, with independents and turnout patterns emerging as key variables in the November 3 contest for the open seat. Traders appear to weigh these Democratic structural factors, historical open-seat patterns in Wisconsin, and the race's status as a toss-up or lean-Democratic among forecasters when pricing the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$501,078終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley secured the nomination in an upset primary victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong after re-entering the race with the endorsement of retiring Gov. Tony Evers, unifying much of the party behind his moderate profile and Milwaukee-area base. Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won his primary with little opposition. Recent Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley holding a modest lead among likely voters while remaining tied among all registered voters, with independents and turnout patterns emerging as key variables in the November 3 contest for the open seat. Traders appear to weigh these Democratic structural factors, historical open-seat patterns in Wisconsin, and the race's status as a toss-up or lean-Democratic among forecasters when pricing the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問