Republican incumbent Greg Abbott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race against Democrat Gina Hinojosa, as reflected in trader consensus. Texas's longstanding Republican lean, combined with Abbott's strong primary performance and incumbency advantages, underpins the high implied probability for a GOP victory. Recent polls through early August show the contest tightening, with Abbott leads ranging from 1 to 6 points and some surveys indicating statistical ties, driven by increased voter familiarity with Hinojosa and turnout dynamics in key regions. The November 3 election timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign events or economic factors, yet the state's partisan baseline and historical voting patterns sustain the market's strong Republican tilt.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,223 Vol.
$43,223 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
13%
$43,223 Vol.
$43,223 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$20,475 Vol.
88%
民主党
$22,748 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Greg Abbott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race against Democrat Gina Hinojosa, as reflected in trader consensus. Texas's longstanding Republican lean, combined with Abbott's strong primary performance and incumbency advantages, underpins the high implied probability for a GOP victory. Recent polls through early August show the contest tightening, with Abbott leads ranging from 1 to 6 points and some surveys indicating statistical ties, driven by increased voter familiarity with Hinojosa and turnout dynamics in key regions. The November 3 election timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign events or economic factors, yet the state's partisan baseline and historical voting patterns sustain the market's strong Republican tilt.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$43,223終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Greg Abbott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race against Democrat Gina Hinojosa, as reflected in trader consensus. Texas's longstanding Republican lean, combined with Abbott's strong primary performance and incumbency advantages, underpins the high implied probability for a GOP victory. Recent polls through early August show the contest tightening, with Abbott leads ranging from 1 to 6 points and some surveys indicating statistical ties, driven by increased voter familiarity with Hinojosa and turnout dynamics in key regions. The November 3 election timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign events or economic factors, yet the state's partisan baseline and historical voting patterns sustain the market's strong Republican tilt.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$43,223終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Greg Abbott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race against Democrat Gina Hinojosa, as reflected in trader consensus. Texas's longstanding Republican lean, combined with Abbott's strong primary performance and incumbency advantages, underpins the high implied probability for a GOP victory. Recent polls through early August show the contest tightening, with Abbott leads ranging from 1 to 6 points and some surveys indicating statistical ties, driven by increased voter familiarity with Hinojosa and turnout dynamics in key regions. The November 3 election timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign events or economic factors, yet the state's partisan baseline and historical voting patterns sustain the market's strong Republican tilt.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問