Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a strong trader consensus lead at 74.9% over Democratic state representative Gina Hinojosa at 25.5% for the November 3, 2026, Texas gubernatorial election. Recent September polling shows a tightening contest, with aggregates placing Abbott ahead by roughly 1.5 to 2 points among likely voters and some surveys showing Hinojosa narrowly ahead. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or Lean Republican, with one calling it a toss-up. Abbott benefits from incumbency, established advantages on border security and public safety, and consistent strength among older and white voters. Hinojosa has narrowed the gap through gains among independents, women, younger voters, Latinos, and Black voters while attacking Abbott on affordability, education, and utilities. Primary results confirmed both nominees earlier this year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$191,262 Vol.
$191,262 Vol.
2026/11/03
グレッグ・アボット（共和党）
75%
ジーナ・ヒノホサ（民主党）
26%
$191,262 Vol.
$191,262 Vol.
2026/11/03
グレッグ・アボット（共和党）
$82,888 Vol.
75%
ジーナ・ヒノホサ（民主党）
$108,374 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a strong trader consensus lead at 74.9% over Democratic state representative Gina Hinojosa at 25.5% for the November 3, 2026, Texas gubernatorial election. Recent September polling shows a tightening contest, with aggregates placing Abbott ahead by roughly 1.5 to 2 points among likely voters and some surveys showing Hinojosa narrowly ahead. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or Lean Republican, with one calling it a toss-up. Abbott benefits from incumbency, established advantages on border security and public safety, and consistent strength among older and white voters. Hinojosa has narrowed the gap through gains among independents, women, younger voters, Latinos, and Black voters while attacking Abbott on affordability, education, and utilities. Primary results confirmed both nominees earlier this year.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$191,262終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a strong trader consensus lead at 74.9% over Democratic state representative Gina Hinojosa at 25.5% for the November 3, 2026, Texas gubernatorial election. Recent September polling shows a tightening contest, with aggregates placing Abbott ahead by roughly 1.5 to 2 points among likely voters and some surveys showing Hinojosa narrowly ahead. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or Lean Republican, with one calling it a toss-up. Abbott benefits from incumbency, established advantages on border security and public safety, and consistent strength among older and white voters. Hinojosa has narrowed the gap through gains among independents, women, younger voters, Latinos, and Black voters while attacking Abbott on affordability, education, and utilities. Primary results confirmed both nominees earlier this year.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$191,262終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a strong trader consensus lead at 74.9% over Democratic state representative Gina Hinojosa at 25.5% for the November 3, 2026, Texas gubernatorial election. Recent September polling shows a tightening contest, with aggregates placing Abbott ahead by roughly 1.5 to 2 points among likely voters and some surveys showing Hinojosa narrowly ahead. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or Lean Republican, with one calling it a toss-up. Abbott benefits from incumbency, established advantages on border security and public safety, and consistent strength among older and white voters. Hinojosa has narrowed the gap through gains among independents, women, younger voters, Latinos, and Black voters while attacking Abbott on affordability, education, and utilities. Primary results confirmed both nominees earlier this year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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