Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent support and maintains a consistent lead in recent polling against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Texas's longstanding Republican advantage in statewide elections, combined with Abbott's high name recognition, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $100 million, and established party infrastructure, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent. Multiple May and early June surveys show Abbott ahead by 5 to 8 points among likely voters, reflecting structural turnout patterns and the state's electoral history. Hinojosa's primary victory and ongoing campaign efforts provide the main Democratic pathway, though ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican with limited shifts expected absent major late developments before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,669 Vol.
$13,669 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$13,669 Vol.
$13,669 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,650 Vol.
83%
民主党
$7,019 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent support and maintains a consistent lead in recent polling against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Texas's longstanding Republican advantage in statewide elections, combined with Abbott's high name recognition, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $100 million, and established party infrastructure, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent. Multiple May and early June surveys show Abbott ahead by 5 to 8 points among likely voters, reflecting structural turnout patterns and the state's electoral history. Hinojosa's primary victory and ongoing campaign efforts provide the main Democratic pathway, though ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican with limited shifts expected absent major late developments before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$13,669終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent support and maintains a consistent lead in recent polling against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Texas's longstanding Republican advantage in statewide elections, combined with Abbott's high name recognition, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $100 million, and established party infrastructure, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent. Multiple May and early June surveys show Abbott ahead by 5 to 8 points among likely voters, reflecting structural turnout patterns and the state's electoral history. Hinojosa's primary victory and ongoing campaign efforts provide the main Democratic pathway, though ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican with limited shifts expected absent major late developments before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$13,669終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent support and maintains a consistent lead in recent polling against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Texas's longstanding Republican advantage in statewide elections, combined with Abbott's high name recognition, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $100 million, and established party infrastructure, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent. Multiple May and early June surveys show Abbott ahead by 5 to 8 points among likely voters, reflecting structural turnout patterns and the state's electoral history. Hinojosa's primary victory and ongoing campaign efforts provide the main Democratic pathway, though ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican with limited shifts expected absent major late developments before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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