Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek seeks a second term against Republican nominee Christine Drazan in the November 2026 general election, a rematch of the 2022 contest. Oregon’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Kotek’s primary win and the state’s electoral history favoring the incumbent party, underpin trader consensus around an 86.5% probability for the Democratic outcome. Nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the “Likely Democratic” or “Lean Democratic” range. A late-June internal poll showing Drazan narrowly ahead has prompted minor adjustments in forecaster outlooks, yet the overall positioning reflects structural advantages for Democrats and limited shifts in the broader political environment since the May primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,001 Vol.
$36,001 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
87%
共和党
15%
$36,001 Vol.
$36,001 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$21,149 Vol.
87%
共和党
$14,853 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek seeks a second term against Republican nominee Christine Drazan in the November 2026 general election, a rematch of the 2022 contest. Oregon’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Kotek’s primary win and the state’s electoral history favoring the incumbent party, underpin trader consensus around an 86.5% probability for the Democratic outcome. Nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the “Likely Democratic” or “Lean Democratic” range. A late-June internal poll showing Drazan narrowly ahead has prompted minor adjustments in forecaster outlooks, yet the overall positioning reflects structural advantages for Democrats and limited shifts in the broader political environment since the May primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$36,001終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek seeks a second term against Republican nominee Christine Drazan in the November 2026 general election, a rematch of the 2022 contest. Oregon’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Kotek’s primary win and the state’s electoral history favoring the incumbent party, underpin trader consensus around an 86.5% probability for the Democratic outcome. Nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the “Likely Democratic” or “Lean Democratic” range. A late-June internal poll showing Drazan narrowly ahead has prompted minor adjustments in forecaster outlooks, yet the overall positioning reflects structural advantages for Democrats and limited shifts in the broader political environment since the May primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$36,001終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek seeks a second term against Republican nominee Christine Drazan in the November 2026 general election, a rematch of the 2022 contest. Oregon’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Kotek’s primary win and the state’s electoral history favoring the incumbent party, underpin trader consensus around an 86.5% probability for the Democratic outcome. Nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the “Likely Democratic” or “Lean Democratic” range. A late-June internal poll showing Drazan narrowly ahead has prompted minor adjustments in forecaster outlooks, yet the overall positioning reflects structural advantages for Democrats and limited shifts in the broader political environment since the May primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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