Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek secured her party's nomination with over 84 percent in the May 2026 primary, setting up a rematch against Republican Christine Drazan, who prevailed in her primary with roughly 41 percent. Oregon has elected only Democratic governors since 1987, reflecting durable partisan patterns in statewide contests and voter registration advantages. Early 2026 polling showed Kotek holding leads or competitive margins despite mixed approval ratings, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 86.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical results in this reliably blue state and the limited path for Republican gains absent major shifts before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,355 Vol.
$18,355 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
87%
共和党
14%
$18,355 Vol.
$18,355 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$10,508 Vol.
87%
共和党
$7,847 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek secured her party's nomination with over 84 percent in the May 2026 primary, setting up a rematch against Republican Christine Drazan, who prevailed in her primary with roughly 41 percent. Oregon has elected only Democratic governors since 1987, reflecting durable partisan patterns in statewide contests and voter registration advantages. Early 2026 polling showed Kotek holding leads or competitive margins despite mixed approval ratings, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 86.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical results in this reliably blue state and the limited path for Republican gains absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$18,355終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek secured her party's nomination with over 84 percent in the May 2026 primary, setting up a rematch against Republican Christine Drazan, who prevailed in her primary with roughly 41 percent. Oregon has elected only Democratic governors since 1987, reflecting durable partisan patterns in statewide contests and voter registration advantages. Early 2026 polling showed Kotek holding leads or competitive margins despite mixed approval ratings, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 86.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical results in this reliably blue state and the limited path for Republican gains absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$18,355終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek secured her party's nomination with over 84 percent in the May 2026 primary, setting up a rematch against Republican Christine Drazan, who prevailed in her primary with roughly 41 percent. Oregon has elected only Democratic governors since 1987, reflecting durable partisan patterns in statewide contests and voter registration advantages. Early 2026 polling showed Kotek holding leads or competitive margins despite mixed approval ratings, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 86.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical results in this reliably blue state and the limited path for Republican gains absent major shifts before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問